Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, HCK Capital Group Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
HCK Capital Group Bhd (XKLS:7105) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
HCK Capital Group Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
HCK Capital Group Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, HCK Capital Group Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
HCK Capital Group Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Real Estate Industry
For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, HCK Capital Group Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where HCK Capital Group Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
HCK Capital Group Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-8.03
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
HCK Capital Group Bhd (XKLS:7105) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is HCK Capital Group Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
HCK Capital Group Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, HCK Capital Group Bhd has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does HCK Capital Group Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
HCK Capital Group Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Real Estate industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Real Estate company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Real Estate industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. HCK Capital Group Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is HCK Capital Group Bhd stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HCK Capital Group Bhd (XKLS:7105) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is RM1.19, compared to a current price of RM2.15 — trading 80.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. HCK Capital Group Bhd's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For HCK Capital Group Bhd (XKLS:7105), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is HCK Capital Group Bhd (XKLS:7105) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, HCK Capital Group Bhd stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of RM2.15 is trading 80.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of RM1.19.
GuruFocus considers HCK Capital Group Bhd to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XKLS:7105:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
GF Value™: RM1.19 vs. price of RM2.15 (80.7% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:7105 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
HCK Capital Group Bhd is principally engaged in the business of investment holding and the provision of management services. It is principally engaged in property development. The Group operates through two divisions Property division and Platform division. The company has three reportable segments include Property development, property trading and property management services includes fees derived from successful completion of sales of property, income derived from sales of properties, letting of properties and consultancy services; Platforms includes value engineering, consultancy, development and technology services; Others includes investment holding and royalty fee income. It generates majority of revenue from Properties. It operates predominantly in Malaysia.
65GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XKLS:7105
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
XKLS:7105 has been successfully added to your 