Sern Kou Resources Bhd (XKLS:7180) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


XKLS:7180 Sern Kou Resources Bhd XKLS:7180
48 GF Score
Price RM0.85
GF Value RM0.85
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Sern Kou Resources Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Sern Kou Resources Bhd XKLS:7180 48 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKLS:7180 with a GF Score™ of 48/100 and a GF Value™ of RM0.85 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sern Kou Resources Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sern Kou Resources Bhd  (XKLS:7180) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sern Kou Resources Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XKLS:7180 vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, Sern Kou Resources Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sern Kou Resources Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Sern Kou Resources Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sern Kou Resources Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XKLS:7180
48GF Score
Sern Kou Resources Bhd XKLS:7180
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Sern Kou Resources Bhd Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.63

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% mean?
Sern Kou Resources Bhd (XKLS:7180) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Sern Kou Resources Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Sern Kou Resources Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Overall, Sern Kou Resources Bhd has a GF Score™ of 48/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sern Kou Resources Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to SSD and UFPI?
Sern Kou Resources Bhd's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.05% can be compared against companies in the Forest Products industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Forest Products company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Forest Products industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Sern Kou Resources Bhd's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sern Kou Resources Bhd stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sern Kou Resources Bhd (XKLS:7180) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is RM0.85, compared to a current price of RM0.85 — trading 0.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%. Sern Kou Resources Bhd's overall GF Score™ is 48/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sern Kou Resources Bhd (XKLS:7180), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sern Kou Resources Bhd (XKLS:7180) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sern Kou Resources Bhd stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of RM0.85 is trading 0.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of RM0.85. GuruFocus considers Sern Kou Resources Bhd to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for XKLS:7180:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.05%
  • GF Value™: RM0.85 vs. price of RM0.85 (0.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 48/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKLS:7180 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sern Kou Resources Bhd Business Description

Address Jalan Perindustrian 1, Lot PTD 6019 (Lot 8804), Kawasan Perindustrian Bukit Bakri, Mukim Bakri, Muar, JHR, MYS, 84200
Sern Kou Resources Bhd, along with its subsidiaries, is engaged in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of all kinds of timber, wood, and related products, as well as in the logging, processing, and trading of rubberwood and timber. The company's reportable segments include the manufacturing and trading of wooden furniture, investment holding, and the processing and trading of wood. Substantial revenue for the company is generated from its processing and trading of the wood segment. The company has a presence in various geographical areas, including Malaysia, the United States of America, European countries, and Asia-Pacific countries.
48GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKLS:7180

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RM0.85
Price
RM0.85
GF Value