Meritz Financial Group (XKRX:138040) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06% (As of Aug. 03, 2026)

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XKRX:138040 Meritz Financial Group XKRX:138040
44 GF Score
Price ₩120,300.00
GF Value ₩105,707.28
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Meritz Financial Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Meritz Financial Group XKRX:138040 -2.98% 44 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus rates XKRX:138040 with a GF Score™ of 44/100 and a GF Value™ of ₩105,707.28 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Meritz Financial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Meritz Financial Group  (XKRX:138040) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Meritz Financial Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

XKRX:138040 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Meritz Financial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Meritz Financial Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Meritz Financial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Meritz Financial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XKRX:138040
44GF Score
Meritz Financial Group XKRX:138040
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Meritz Financial Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.37

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=(Balance Sheet Cash And Cash Equivalents + Money Market Investments) / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% mean?
Meritz Financial Group (XKRX:138040) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% as of Aug. 03, 2026.
Is Meritz Financial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Meritz Financial Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Overall, Meritz Financial Group has a GF Score™ of 44/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Meritz Financial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MS and GS?
Meritz Financial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.06% can be compared against companies in the Capital Markets industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Capital Markets company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Meritz Financial Group's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Meritz Financial Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Meritz Financial Group (XKRX:138040) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₩105,707.28, compared to a current price of ₩120,300.00 — trading 13.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%. Meritz Financial Group's overall GF Score™ is 44/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Meritz Financial Group (XKRX:138040), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06% as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Meritz Financial Group (XKRX:138040) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Meritz Financial Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ₩120,300.00 is trading 13.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of ₩105,707.28. GuruFocus considers Meritz Financial Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XKRX:138040:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.06%
  • GF Value™: ₩105,707.28 vs. price of ₩120,300.00 (13.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 44/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XKRX:138040 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Meritz Financial Group Business Description

Address 382 Gangnam-daero, Gangnam-gu, Seoul, KOR, 06232
Meritz Financial Group provides various financial services in South Korea and internationally. It operates through Insurance, Securities, Capital, and Others segments. It provides a wide range of non-life insurance products, including fire, marine, accident, engineering, liability, auto, and various long-term insurance plans covering damage, health, savings, and pensions. In addition to insurance, the company operates in merchant banking, securities, private equity, trust management, real estate leasing, and asset-securitization services. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Securities segment.
44GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XKRX:138040

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₩120,300.00
Price
₩105,707.28
GF Value