Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Ecoener's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Ecoener (XMAD:ENER) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Ecoener Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms
Ecoener Probability of Financial Distress (%) Competitor Comparison
For the Utilities - Renewable subindustry, Ecoener's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Ecoener Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry
For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Ecoener's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ecoener's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Ecoener Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
LPFD
=
-20.12 * NIMTAAVG
+
1.60 * TLMTA
-
7.88 * EXRETAVG
+
1.55 * SIGMA
-
0.005 * RSIZE
-
2.27 * CASHMTA
+
0.070 * MB
-
0.09 * PRICE
-
8.87
=
-7.21
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% mean?
Ecoener (XMAD:ENER) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Ecoener's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Ecoener's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Overall, Ecoener has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ecoener's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to competitors?
Ecoener's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.07% can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Ecoener's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ecoener stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ecoener (XMAD:ENER) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €6.07, compared to a current price of €4.30 — trading 29.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07%. Ecoener's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ecoener (XMAD:ENER), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.07% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Ecoener (XMAD:ENER) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ecoener stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of €4.30 is trading 29.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €6.07.
GuruFocus considers Ecoener to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for XMAD:ENER:
Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.07%
GF Value™: €6.07 vs. price of €4.30 (29.2% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XMAD:ENER stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Ecoener SA is a renewable energy company that builds and operates hydroelectric plants, wind farms, and photovoltaic solar plants. It generates renewable energy to contribute to sustainable development. In addition, it is also engaged in the design, promotion, development, construction, management, maintenance, operation, closure, and dismantling of the relevant production facilities. The Group has five operating segments: i) operation of hydropower plants, ii) operation of wind farms, iii) operation of solar photovoltaic plants, iv) energy commercialization, and v) provision of other services. The majority of the revenue is earned from the operation of the wind farms segment.
77GF Score
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