GOP Properties Socimi (XMAD:YGOP) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


XMAD:YGOP GOP Properties Socimi SA XMAD:YGOP
61 GF Score
Price €17.40
GF Value €17.09
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is GOP Properties Socimi Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

GOP Properties Socimi XMAD:YGOP +0.58% 61 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates XMAD:YGOP with a GF Score™ of 61/100 and a GF Value™ of €17.09 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, GOP Properties Socimi's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


GOP Properties Socimi  (XMAD:YGOP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


GOP Properties Socimi Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XMAD:YGOP vs VICI, WPC: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, GOP Properties Socimi's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GOP Properties Socimi Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, GOP Properties Socimi's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GOP Properties Socimi's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XMAD:YGOP
61GF Score
GOP Properties Socimi SA XMAD:YGOP
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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GOP Properties Socimi Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.97

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
GOP Properties Socimi (XMAD:YGOP) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is GOP Properties Socimi's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
GOP Properties Socimi's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, GOP Properties Socimi has a GF Score™ of 61/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does GOP Properties Socimi's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to VICI and WPC?
GOP Properties Socimi's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a REITs company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the REITs industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GOP Properties Socimi's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is GOP Properties Socimi stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, GOP Properties Socimi (XMAD:YGOP) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is €17.09, compared to a current price of €17.40 — trading 1.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. GOP Properties Socimi's overall GF Score™ is 61/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For GOP Properties Socimi (XMAD:YGOP), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is GOP Properties Socimi (XMAD:YGOP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, GOP Properties Socimi stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €17.40 is trading 1.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €17.09. GuruFocus considers GOP Properties Socimi to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for XMAD:YGOP:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01%
  • GF Value™: €17.09 vs. price of €17.40 (1.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 61/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XMAD:YGOP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


GOP Properties Socimi Business Description

Industry Real EstateREITs
Address Avenida del Ensanche de Vallecas, 44, Madrid, ESP, 28051
GOP Properties Socimi SA is a Real Estate Investment Trust. The purpose of the company is to manage and operate a diversified portfolio of assets. Its assets are located mainly in Madrid. The main strategy of the company is aimed at generating recurring income for the shareholder and the creation of value in the assets of its present and future portfolio.
61GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XMAD:YGOP

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€17.40
Price
€17.09
GF Value