Nattaro Labs AB (XSAT:NATTA) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.41% (As of Jul. 14, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XSAT:NATTA Nattaro Labs AB XSAT:NATTA
27 GF Score
Price kr0.70
GF Value kr0.25
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Nattaro Labs AB Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Nattaro Labs AB XSAT:NATTA +13.27% 27 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.41% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSAT:NATTA with a GF Score™ of 27/100 and a GF Value™ of kr0.25 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Nattaro Labs AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.41%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Nattaro Labs AB  (XSAT:NATTA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Nattaro Labs AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XSAT:NATTA vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Nattaro Labs AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nattaro Labs AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Nattaro Labs AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nattaro Labs AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XSAT:NATTA
27GF Score
Nattaro Labs AB XSAT:NATTA
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Nattaro Labs AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.49

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.41%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.41% mean?
Nattaro Labs AB (XSAT:NATTA) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.41% as of Jul. 14, 2026.
Is Nattaro Labs AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Nattaro Labs AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.41%. Overall, Nattaro Labs AB has a GF Score™ of 27/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nattaro Labs AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to LIN and SHW?
Nattaro Labs AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.41% can be compared against companies in the Chemicals industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Chemicals company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Nattaro Labs AB's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.41%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nattaro Labs AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nattaro Labs AB (XSAT:NATTA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr0.25, compared to a current price of kr0.70 — trading 180% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.41%. Nattaro Labs AB's overall GF Score™ is 27/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nattaro Labs AB (XSAT:NATTA), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.41% as of Jul. 14, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nattaro Labs AB (XSAT:NATTA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nattaro Labs AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr0.70 is trading 180% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr0.25. GuruFocus considers Nattaro Labs AB to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSAT:NATTA:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.41%
  • GF Value™: kr0.25 vs. price of kr0.70 (180% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 27/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSAT:NATTA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nattaro Labs AB Business Description

Address Scheelevagen 2, Medicon Village, Lund, SWE, 223 63
Nattaro Labs AB is a Swedish company that carries out research to develop new products and sustainable solutions to combat the growing problem of bed bugs.
27GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSAT:NATTA

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr0.70
Price
kr0.25
GF Value