Inversiones Siemel (XSGO:SIEMEL) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02% (As of Aug. 25, 2026)

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XSGO:SIEMEL Inversiones Siemel SA XSGO:SIEMEL
69 GF Score
Price CLP379.00
GF Value CLP405.59
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Inversiones Siemel Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Inversiones Siemel XSGO:SIEMEL 69 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSGO:SIEMEL with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of CLP405.59. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Inversiones Siemel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Inversiones Siemel  (XSGO:SIEMEL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Inversiones Siemel Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

XSGO:SIEMEL vs MMM, HON: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Inversiones Siemel's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Inversiones Siemel Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Inversiones Siemel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Inversiones Siemel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XSGO:SIEMEL
69GF Score
Inversiones Siemel SA XSGO:SIEMEL
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Inversiones Siemel Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.73

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% mean?
Inversiones Siemel (XSGO:SIEMEL) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% as of Aug. 25, 2026.
Is Inversiones Siemel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Inversiones Siemel's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Overall, Inversiones Siemel has a GF Score™ of 69/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Inversiones Siemel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MMM and HON?
Inversiones Siemel's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02% can be compared against companies in the Conglomerates industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Conglomerates company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Inversiones Siemel's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Inversiones Siemel stock overvalued right now?
Inversiones Siemel (XSGO:SIEMEL) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.02%. The stock's GF Value™ is CLP405.59, compared to a current price of CLP379.00 — trading 6.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%. Inversiones Siemel's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Inversiones Siemel (XSGO:SIEMEL), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02% as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Inversiones Siemel (XSGO:SIEMEL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Inversiones Siemel stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CLP379.00 is trading 6.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of CLP405.59.

Key valuation signals for XSGO:SIEMEL:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.02%
  • GF Value™: CLP405.59 vs. price of CLP379.00 (6.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSGO:SIEMEL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Inversiones Siemel Business Description

Address Avenida El Golf 150, 21st Floor, Las Condes, Santiago, CHL
Inversiones Siemel SA is a financial holding company that is present through its subsidiaries in different sectors of activity. Through its subsidiaries, the company operates in the following segments; Agribusiness, Technology, Investments, and Automotive. A majority of its revenue is generated from the Automotive segment which is engaged in the rent-a-car business and operational leasing of motor vehicles, under the Avis and Budget brands. The Agribusiness segment is involved in developing agricultural activities, such as livestock, producing beef, sheep meat, wool, sheep cheese; and fruit plantations of plums, almonds, and cherries. The Investments segment relates to real estate investments and other businesses, and the Technology segment deals in the area of information technology.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSGO:SIEMEL

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CLP379.00
Price
CLP405.59
GF Value