What is Acino Holding AG Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Acino Holding AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Acino Holding AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Acino Holding AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Acino Holding AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Acino Holding AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Acino Holding AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Acino Holding AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Acino Holding AG (XSWX:ACIN) Business Description
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Acino Holding AG is a Switzerland-based company engaged in the pharmaceutical industry. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals in novel drug delivery forms internationally. It is divided into four segments Business to Consumer (BtC); Business to Business (BtB); Technology marketing (TM); and Production (Prod). The BtC segment comprises all direct marketing activities. Under the company's "Acino Switzerland" brand and, with the promise of Swiss quality, the company sells its products in emerging markets around the globe. This reporting segment includes the business purchased from Mepha/Cephalon in the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia. The BtB segment comprises Acino's business with its internally developed products, for which the company also owns the intellectual property rights. Acino develops and produces high-quality medicines with proven active ingredients and modern drug delivery systems and grants licenses for them to leading pharmaceutical and generic pharmaceutical companies worldwide. The technology marketing segment comprises a broad spectrum of fully integrated contract services, including procurement, contract development, production and packaging for companies in the life sciences industry. On behalf of these customers, Acino develops a comprehensive product pipeline on the basis of its special technological know-how. This includes both new types of medicines as well as projects with innovative drug delivery systems for established active ingredients. The production segment is responsible for the manufacturing of products and the supplying of the other three segments, and generates turnover through the reimbursement of its services. The manufacturing costs of products are credited to the production segment at standard prices along with remuneration in the form of a mark-up for materials and production costs.
Acino Holding AG (XSWX:ACIN) Headlines
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