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Acino Holding AG (XSWX:ACIN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : CHF (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Acino Holding AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-14), Acino Holding AG's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is CHF.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Acino Holding AG's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Acino Holding AG is

The historical rank and industry rank for Acino Holding AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:ACIN's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.19
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Acino Holding AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Acino Holding AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Acino Holding AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Acino Holding AG Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Acino Holding AG Semi-Annual Data
Dec03 Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Acino Holding AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Acino Holding AG's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Acino Holding AG's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Acino Holding AG's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Acino Holding AG's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Acino Holding AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 7%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 0.64%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = CHF.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Acino Holding AG's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.07) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.07) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 113.60) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Acino Holding AG  (XSWX:ACIN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Acino Holding AG Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Acino Holding AG (XSWX:ACIN) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Acino Holding AG is a Switzerland-based company engaged in the pharmaceutical industry. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets pharmaceuticals in novel drug delivery forms internationally. It is divided into four segments Business to Consumer (BtC); Business to Business (BtB); Technology marketing (TM); and Production (Prod). The BtC segment comprises all direct marketing activities. Under the company's "Acino Switzerland" brand and, with the promise of Swiss quality, the company sells its products in emerging markets around the globe. This reporting segment includes the business purchased from Mepha/Cephalon in the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia. The BtB segment comprises Acino's business with its internally developed products, for which the company also owns the intellectual property rights. Acino develops and produces high-quality medicines with proven active ingredients and modern drug delivery systems and grants licenses for them to leading pharmaceutical and generic pharmaceutical companies worldwide. The technology marketing segment comprises a broad spectrum of fully integrated contract services, including procurement, contract development, production and packaging for companies in the life sciences industry. On behalf of these customers, Acino develops a comprehensive product pipeline on the basis of its special technological know-how. This includes both new types of medicines as well as projects with innovative drug delivery systems for established active ingredients. The production segment is responsible for the manufacturing of products and the supplying of the other three segments, and generates turnover through the reimbursement of its services. The manufacturing costs of products are credited to the production segment at standard prices along with remuneration in the form of a mark-up for materials and production costs.

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