Implenia AG (XSWX:IMPN) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


XSWX:IMPN Implenia AG XSWX:IMPN
56 GF Score
Price CHF71.90
GF Value CHF35.34
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Implenia AG Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Implenia AG XSWX:IMPN -3.23% 56 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:IMPN with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF35.34 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Implenia AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Implenia AG  (XSWX:IMPN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Implenia AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XSWX:IMPN vs PWR, FIX, EME: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Implenia AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Implenia AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Implenia AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Implenia AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XSWX:IMPN
56GF Score
Implenia AG XSWX:IMPN
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Implenia AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.23

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% mean?
Implenia AG (XSWX:IMPN) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026.
Is Implenia AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Implenia AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Overall, Implenia AG has a GF Score™ of 56/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Implenia AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to PWR and FIX?
Implenia AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.03% can be compared against companies in the Construction industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Construction company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Construction industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Implenia AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Implenia AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Implenia AG (XSWX:IMPN) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF35.34, compared to a current price of CHF71.90 — trading 103.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%. Implenia AG's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Implenia AG (XSWX:IMPN), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Implenia AG (XSWX:IMPN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Implenia AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF71.90 is trading 103.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF35.34. GuruFocus considers Implenia AG to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:IMPN:

  • Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.03%
  • GF Value™: CHF35.34 vs. price of CHF71.90 (103.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:IMPN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Implenia AG Business Description

Other Exchanges IMPNz:UK0QNT:UKI8T:Germany
Address Thurgauerstrasse 101A, Glattpark, Opfikon, Zurich, CHE, CH-8152
Implenia AG is a construction service company. The company operates through four business segments: Buildings, Civil engineering, and Service Solutions. The company's projects include complex new construction, modernization work on existing properties, tunnel construction, civil engineering, and others. The company generates majority of its revenue from Civil engineering segments, and more than half of its revenue is earned in Switzerland.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:IMPN

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF71.90
Price
CHF35.34
GF Value