Valartis Group AG (XSWX:VLRT) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 0.01% (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


XSWX:VLRT Valartis Group AG XSWX:VLRT
21 GF Score
Price CHF10.70
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Valartis Group AG Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Valartis Group AG XSWX:VLRT +0.94% 21 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates XSWX:VLRT with a GF Score™ of 21/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Valartis Group AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Valartis Group AG  (XSWX:VLRT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Valartis Group AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


XSWX:VLRT vs MS, GS, SCHW: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Valartis Group AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Valartis Group AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Valartis Group AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Valartis Group AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


XSWX:VLRT
21GF Score
Valartis Group AG XSWX:VLRT
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Valartis Group AG Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.77

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% mean?
Valartis Group AG (XSWX:VLRT) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% as of Jun. 24, 2026.
Is Valartis Group AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Valartis Group AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Overall, Valartis Group AG has a GF Score™ of 21/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Valartis Group AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to MS and GS?
Valartis Group AG's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01% can be compared against companies in the Capital Markets industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Capital Markets company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Capital Markets industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Valartis Group AG's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Valartis Group AG stock overvalued right now?
Valartis Group AG (XSWX:VLRT) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 0.01%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%. Valartis Group AG's overall GF Score™ is 21/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Valartis Group AG (XSWX:VLRT), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01% as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Valartis Group AG Business Description

Other Exchanges VLRTz:UK
Address Rue de Romont 29/31, Fribourg, CHE, 1700
Valartis Group AG is a financial group. The business lines of the company comprise the activities of Financial Services, Real Estate Project Management, and Equity Investments. It focuses on the comprehensive management of niche funds and investment activities. The company provides corporate finance advisory services for listed and unlisted medium-sized companies. The Real Estate activities consist of the management of profitable commercial and residential properties with the investment in development projects. Geographically, the Group operates in Switzerland, Europe, and Other regions.
21GF Score

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Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

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