ZTG (Zenta Group Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%): 50.00% (As of Jun. 26, 2026)


ZTG Zenta Group Co Ltd ZTG
22 GF Score
Price $1.61
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Zenta Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Zenta Group Co ZTG -7.08% 22 Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus rates ZTG with a GF Score™ of 22/100. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Zenta Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Zenta Group Co  (NAS:ZTG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Zenta Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms


ZTG vs AERT, GRNQ, DGNX: Probability of Financial Distress (%) Comparison

For the Consulting Services subindustry, Zenta Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Zenta Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Zenta Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Zenta Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


ZTG
22GF Score
Zenta Group Co Ltd ZTG
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Zenta Group Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

What does a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% mean?
Zenta Group Co (ZTG) has a Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026.
Is Zenta Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) too high?
Zenta Group Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Overall, Zenta Group Co has a GF Score™ of 22/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Zenta Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) compare to AERT and GRNQ?
Zenta Group Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00% can be compared against companies in the Business Services industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Probability of Financial Distress (%) for a Business Services company?
A good Probability of Financial Distress (%) depends on the Business Services industry context. However, Probability of Financial Distress (%) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Probability of Financial Distress (%) mean?
A high Probability of Financial Distress (%) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Zenta Group Co's current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Zenta Group Co stock overvalued right now?
Zenta Group Co (ZTG) has a current Probability of Financial Distress (%) of 50.00%. The current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%. Zenta Group Co's overall GF Score™ is 22/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Probability of Financial Distress (%) calculated?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Zenta Group Co (ZTG), the current Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00% as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Zenta Group Co Business Description

Address Avenida do Infante D. Henrique, No. 47-53A, Macau Square, 13th Floor, Unit M, Macau, MAC, 999078
Zenta Group Co Ltd is a professional services provider in Macau, offering industrial park consulting services, business investment consulting services through LIC, and the sale of fintech products and services through LFT. Its industrial park consulting services focus on the pre-development stage, assisting with applications and negotiations for industrial park projects with PRC government authorities, with plans to expand into post-development services through LMS. The business investment consulting services mainly involve assisting clients in acquiring equity stakes in technology firms, private equity management firms, and industrial park project firms, supported by third-party professionals. The Group operates in Macau and the PRC, generating the majority of its revenue from the PRC.
22GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ZTG

Probability of Financial Distress (%) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.61
Price