AAOI (Applied Optoelectronics) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-2.05 (As of Mar. 2026)

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AAOI Applied Optoelectronics Inc AAOI
46 GF Score
Price $112.02
GF Value $20.25
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Applied Optoelectronics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Applied Optoelectronics AAOI +1.35% 46 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.05 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates AAOI with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of $20.25 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Applied Optoelectronics's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-1.891. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-2.05 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 0.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Applied Optoelectronics was 0.70% per year. The lowest was 0.70% per year. And the median was 0.70% per year.

As of today (2026-07-24), Applied Optoelectronics's current stock price is $112.02. Applied Optoelectronics's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $-2.05. Applied Optoelectronics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


Applied Optoelectronics  (NAS:AAOI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Applied Optoelectronics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Applied Optoelectronics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Applied Optoelectronics's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Applied Optoelectronics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Applied Optoelectronics Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.92 -1.85 -1.85 -1.88

Applied Optoelectronics Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.85 -1.95 -1.92 -1.88 -2.05

AAOI vs VIAV, ZBRA, VSAT: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Applied Optoelectronics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Applied Optoelectronics Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Applied Optoelectronics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Optoelectronics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


AAOI
46GF Score
Applied Optoelectronics Inc AAOI
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Applied Optoelectronics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Applied Optoelectronics's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-1.891/330.2130*330.2130
=-1.891

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Applied Optoelectronics Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.254 241.018 -0.348
201609 -0.027 241.428 -0.037
201612 1.107 241.432 1.514
201703 0.102 243.801 0.138
201706 1.028 244.955 1.386
201709 -0.606 246.819 -0.811
201712 0.310 246.524 0.415
201803 -0.973 249.554 -1.287
201806 0.041 251.989 0.054
201809 -0.708 252.439 -0.926
201812 -1.582 251.233 -2.079
201903 -0.651 254.202 -0.846
201906 -0.327 256.143 -0.422
201909 -0.281 256.759 -0.361
201912 -0.304 256.974 -0.391
202003 -0.552 258.115 -0.706
202006 -0.939 257.797 -1.203
202009 -0.513 260.280 -0.651
202012 -0.756 260.474 -0.958
202103 -0.663 264.877 -0.827
202106 -0.042 271.696 -0.051
202109 0.051 274.310 0.061
202112 -0.103 278.802 -0.122
202203 -0.173 287.504 -0.199
202206 0.053 296.311 0.059
202209 -0.363 296.808 -0.404
202212 -0.153 296.797 -0.170
202303 -0.355 301.836 -0.388
202306 0.488 305.109 0.528
202309 -0.518 307.789 -0.556
202312 -0.130 306.746 -0.140
202403 -0.896 312.332 -0.947
202406 -0.129 314.175 -0.136
202409 -0.493 315.301 -0.516
202412 -1.153 315.605 -1.206
202503 -1.586 319.799 -1.638
202506 -1.603 322.561 -1.641
202509 -1.245 324.800 -1.266
202512 -1.486 324.054 -1.514
202603 -1.891 330.213 -1.891

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-2.05 mean?
Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-2.05 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Applied Optoelectronics and its competitors.
Is Applied Optoelectronics' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Applied Optoelectronics' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.05. Overall, Applied Optoelectronics has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Applied Optoelectronics' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to VIAV and ZBRA?
Applied Optoelectronics' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-2.05 can be compared against companies in the Hardware industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Hardware company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Hardware industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Applied Optoelectronics and its competitors. Applied Optoelectronics's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Applied Optoelectronics stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $20.25, compared to a current price of $112.02 — trading 453.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.05. Applied Optoelectronics' overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-2.05 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Applied Optoelectronics stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $112.02 is trading 453.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $20.25. GuruFocus considers Applied Optoelectronics to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for AAOI:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-2.05
  • GF Value™: $20.25 vs. price of $112.02 (453.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the AAOI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Applied Optoelectronics Business Description

Address 13139 Jess Pirtle Boulevard, Sugar Land, TX, USA, 77478
Applied Optoelectronics Inc is a provider of fiber-optic networking products, for four networking end-markets; internet data center, CATV, telecom, and FTTH. The Company designs and manufactures a wide range of optical communications products at varying levels of integration, from components, subassemblies, and modules to meet turn-key equipment. Through direct sales personnel, and manufacturing teams in the United States, China, and Taiwan, the company coordinates with customers to determine product design, qualifications, and performance. The Company has manufacturing and research and development facilities located in the U.S., Taiwan, and China.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for AAOI

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$112.02
Price
$20.25
GF Value