Thai Oil PCL (BKK:TOP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ฿2.51 (As of Mar. 2026)


BKK:TOP Thai Oil PCL BKK:TOP
82 GF Score
Price ฿51.75
GF Value ฿41.21
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Thai Oil PCL Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Thai Oil PCL BKK:TOP +2.99% 82 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ฿2.51 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BKK:TOP with a GF Score™ of 82/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿41.21 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Thai Oil PCL's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ฿1.756. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ฿2.51 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Thai Oil PCL's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 41.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 42.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Thai Oil PCL was 42.00% per year. The lowest was -45.60% per year. And the median was -24.45% per year.

As of today (2026-07-06), Thai Oil PCL's current stock price is ฿51.75. Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ฿2.51. Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 20.62.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Thai Oil PCL was 154.73. The lowest was 4.92. And the median was 15.52.


Thai Oil PCL  (BKK:TOP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=51.75/2.51
=20.62

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Thai Oil PCL was 154.73. The lowest was 4.92. And the median was 15.52.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Thai Oil PCL Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Thai Oil PCL Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Thai Oil PCL Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Thai Oil PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.37 0.97 1.39 2.40 2.78

Thai Oil PCL Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.77 2.78 2.32 2.78 2.51

BKK:TOP vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thai Oil PCL Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BKK:TOP
82GF Score
Thai Oil PCL BKK:TOP
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Thai Oil PCL Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Thai Oil PCL's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=1.756/330.2130*330.2130
=1.756

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Thai Oil PCL Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.611 241.018 0.837
201609 1.554 241.428 2.125
201612 2.146 241.432 2.935
201703 4.353 243.801 5.896
201706 2.454 244.955 3.308
201709 2.599 246.819 3.477
201712 5.156 246.524 6.906
201803 3.252 249.554 4.303
201806 0.996 251.989 1.305
201809 -2.527 252.439 -3.306
201812 3.321 251.233 4.365
201903 0.221 254.202 0.287
201906 -1.146 256.143 -1.477
201909 -5.464 256.759 -7.027
201912 -0.689 256.974 -0.885
202003 -9.090 258.115 -11.629
202006 -3.705 257.797 -4.746
202009 -4.309 260.280 -5.467
202012 -5.487 260.474 -6.956
202103 -6.533 264.877 -8.144
202106 -2.391 271.696 -2.906
202109 -2.532 274.310 -3.048
202112 -0.744 278.802 -0.881
202203 -0.434 287.504 -0.498
202206 6.008 296.311 6.695
202209 -6.933 296.808 -7.713
202212 6.824 296.797 7.592
202303 7.199 301.836 7.876
202306 -3.683 305.109 -3.986
202309 1.665 307.789 1.786
202312 0.860 306.746 0.926
202403 1.509 312.332 1.595
202406 8.511 314.175 8.945
202409 -5.049 315.301 -5.288
202412 8.345 315.605 8.731
202503 -2.049 319.799 -2.116
202506 9.294 322.561 9.514
202509 0.059 324.800 0.060
202512 9.750 324.054 9.935
202603 1.756 330.213 1.756

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ฿2.51 mean?
Thai Oil PCL (BKK:TOP) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ฿2.51 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Thai Oil PCL and its competitors.
Is Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Thai Oil PCL's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ฿2.51. Overall, Thai Oil PCL has a GF Score™ of 82/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to VLO and MPC?
Thai Oil PCL's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ฿2.51 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Thai Oil PCL and its competitors. Thai Oil PCL's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ฿2.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Thai Oil PCL stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Thai Oil PCL (BKK:TOP) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿41.21, compared to a current price of ฿51.75 — trading 25.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ฿2.51. Thai Oil PCL's overall GF Score™ is 82/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Thai Oil PCL (BKK:TOP), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ฿2.51 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Thai Oil PCL (BKK:TOP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Thai Oil PCL stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ฿51.75 is trading 25.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ฿41.21. GuruFocus considers Thai Oil PCL to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BKK:TOP:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ฿2.51
  • GF Value™: ฿41.21 vs. price of ฿51.75 (25.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 82/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:TOP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Thai Oil PCL Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Vibhavadi Rangsit Road, 555/1 Energy Complex, 11th Floor, Building A, Chatuchak Subdistrict, Chatuchak District, Bangkok, THA, 10900
Thai Oil PCL operates an integrated business in oil refining and petrochemicals business. The company is engaged in oil refinery and distribution, petrochemicals, lube base oil and other businesses in domestic and overseas. It operates in the following reportable segments: Oil refinery, Lube base oil refinery, Aromatics and LAB, Solvent, Power generation, Ethanol, Olefins, and Others. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from the Oil refinery segment. Geographically, it generates the maximum revenue from Thailand, followed by Indonesia and other countries.
82GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:TOP

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿51.75
Price
฿41.21
GF Value