BLBD (Blue Bird) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $1.19 (As of Jun. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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BLBD Blue Bird Corp BLBD
86 GF Score
Price $61.33
GF Value $53.39
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Blue Bird Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Blue Bird BLBD -1.84% 86 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.19 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates BLBD with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $53.39 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Blue Bird's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $0.616. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.19 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Blue Bird's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-08-20), Blue Bird's current stock price is $61.33. Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $1.19. Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 51.54.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Blue Bird was 319.50. The lowest was 34.90. And the median was 65.83.


Blue Bird  (NAS:BLBD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=61.33/1.19
=51.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Blue Bird was 319.50. The lowest was 34.90. And the median was 65.83.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Blue Bird Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Blue Bird Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Blue Bird Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Blue Bird Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.45 0.97

Blue Bird Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.97 0.97 1.34 1.32 1.19

BLBD vs ALG, ASTE, LNN: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blue Bird Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BLBD
86GF Score
Blue Bird Corp BLBD
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Blue Bird Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Blue Bird's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=0.616/333.9520*333.9520
=0.616

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Blue Bird Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 0.035 241.428 0.048
201612 -1.556 241.432 -2.152
201703 0.841 243.801 1.152
201706 0.442 244.955 0.603
201709 1.559 246.819 2.109
201712 -1.557 246.524 -2.109
201803 -0.112 249.554 -0.150
201806 1.104 251.989 1.463
201809 0.669 252.439 0.885
201812 -2.243 251.233 -2.982
201903 0.358 254.202 0.470
201906 0.008 256.143 0.010
201909 2.498 256.759 3.249
201912 -3.598 256.974 -4.676
202003 1.221 258.115 1.580
202006 -1.203 257.797 -1.558
202009 2.902 260.280 3.723
202012 -0.547 260.474 -0.701
202103 -0.125 264.877 -0.158
202106 -0.231 271.696 -0.284
202109 -1.541 274.310 -1.876
202112 -1.232 278.802 -1.476
202203 0.618 287.504 0.718
202206 -1.385 296.311 -1.561
202209 0.884 296.808 0.995
202212 0.586 296.797 0.659
202303 0.687 301.836 0.760
202306 1.128 305.109 1.235
202309 1.047 307.789 1.136
202312 -0.083 306.746 -0.090
202403 1.567 312.332 1.675
202406 -0.104 314.175 -0.111
202409 1.489 315.301 1.577
202412 0.654 315.605 0.692
202503 0.570 319.799 0.595
202506 1.606 322.561 1.663
202509 1.862 324.800 1.914
202512 0.954 324.054 0.983
202603 1.231 330.213 1.245
202606 0.616 333.952 0.616

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $1.19 mean?
Blue Bird (BLBD) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $1.19 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Blue Bird and its competitors.
Is Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Blue Bird's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.19. Overall, Blue Bird has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to ALG and ASTE?
Blue Bird's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $1.19 can be compared against companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Blue Bird and its competitors. Blue Bird's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Blue Bird stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blue Bird (BLBD) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $53.39, compared to a current price of $61.33 — trading 14.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.19. Blue Bird's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Blue Bird (BLBD), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $1.19 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Blue Bird (BLBD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Blue Bird stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $61.33 is trading 14.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $53.39. GuruFocus considers Blue Bird to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BLBD:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $1.19
  • GF Value™: $53.39 vs. price of $61.33 (14.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BLBD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Blue Bird Business Description

Other Exchanges 4RB:Germany
Address 3920 Arkwright Road, 2nd Floor, Macon, GA, USA, 31210
Blue Bird Corp is an American bus manufacturing company. It is an independent designer and manufacturer of school buses. The company operates in two segments; the Bus segment which involves the design, engineering, manufacture, and sales of school buses and extended warranties; and the Parts segment which includes the sales of replacement bus parts. Geographically, the company generates a majority of its revenue from its customers in the United States and the rest from Canada and Rest of the world.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BLBD

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$61.33
Price
$53.39
GF Value