Vale (BSP:VALE3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: R$9.94 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BSP:VALE3 Vale SA BSP:VALE3
72 GF Score
Price R$74.01
GF Value R$65.49
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Vale BSP:VALE3 +1.59% 72 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$9.94 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:VALE3 with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of R$65.49 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Vale's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was R$0.849. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$9.94 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Vale's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Vale was 44.00% per year. The lowest was -4.30% per year. And the median was 13.10% per year.

As of today (2026-07-15), Vale's current stock price is R$74.01. Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was R$9.94. Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 7.45.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Vale was 29.55. The lowest was 5.75. And the median was 15.18.


Vale  (BSP:VALE3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=74.01/9.94
=7.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Vale was 29.55. The lowest was 5.75. And the median was 15.18.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Vale Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.67 6.61 7.63 8.28 9.46

Vale Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.68 8.96 9.20 9.46 9.94

Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vale Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BSP:VALE3
72GF Score
Vale SA BSP:VALE3
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Vale's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.849/175.0655*175.0655
=0.849

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 175.0655.

Vale Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.634 108.851 1.020
201609 0.790 109.986 1.257
201612 0.658 110.802 1.040
201703 1.101 111.869 1.723
201706 1.390 112.115 2.170
201709 0.893 112.777 1.386
201712 1.752 114.068 2.689
201803 0.809 114.868 1.233
201806 2.060 117.038 3.081
201809 2.992 117.881 4.443
201812 1.355 118.340 2.005
201903 1.177 120.124 1.715
201906 1.656 120.977 2.396
201909 2.536 121.292 3.660
201912 1.357 123.436 1.925
202003 0.534 124.092 0.753
202006 0.373 123.557 0.528
202009 4.118 125.095 5.763
202012 5.254 129.012 7.130
202103 6.631 131.660 8.817
202106 6.527 133.871 8.536
202109 8.151 137.913 10.347
202112 0.150 141.992 0.185
202203 1.521 146.537 1.817
202206 2.425 149.784 2.834
202209 2.495 147.800 2.955
202212 0.145 150.207 0.169
202303 2.898 153.352 3.308
202306 0.763 154.519 0.864
202309 1.603 155.464 1.805
202312 3.040 157.148 3.387
202403 2.532 159.372 2.781
202406 -0.148 161.052 -0.161
202409 0.346 162.342 0.373
202412 0.840 164.740 0.893
202503 0.558 168.102 0.581
202506 0.901 169.670 0.930
202509 1.484 170.739 1.522
202512 0.652 171.765 0.665
202603 0.849 175.066 0.849

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R$9.94 mean?
Vale (BSP:VALE3) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R$9.94 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vale and its competitors.
Is Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Vale's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$9.94. Overall, Vale has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to competitors?
Vale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of R$9.94 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vale and its competitors. Vale's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$9.94. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vale stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vale (BSP:VALE3) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$65.49, compared to a current price of R$74.01 — trading 13% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$9.94. Vale's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vale (BSP:VALE3), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is R$9.94 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vale (BSP:VALE3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vale stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$74.01 is trading 13% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$65.49. GuruFocus considers Vale to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:VALE3:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: R$9.94
  • GF Value™: R$65.49 vs. price of R$74.01 (13% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:VALE3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vale Business Description

Address Praia de Botafogo, 186, Rooms 1801 to 2001, Botafogo, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, BRA, 22250-145
Vale is a large global miner and the world's largest producer of iron ore and pellets. In recent years the company has sold noncore assets such as its fertilizer, coal, and steel operations to concentrate on iron ore, nickel, and copper. Earnings are dominated by its iron ore business. The base metals division is much smaller, consisting of nickel mines and smelters along with copper mines producing copper in concentrate. In 2024, Vale sold a minority 10% stake in its base metals business, likely the first step in separating base metals and iron ore.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:VALE3

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$74.01
Price
R$65.49
GF Value