Shell (BUE:SHEL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS6,019.99 (As of Mar. 2026)

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BUE:SHEL Shell PLC BUE:SHEL
60 GF Score
Price ARS70,500.00
GF Value ARS56,320.39
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Shell BUE:SHEL +1.15% 60 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS6,019.99 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:SHEL with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS56,320.39 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shell's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS565.064. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS6,019.99 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Shell's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Shell was 26.00% per year. The lowest was -5.20% per year. And the median was 20.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-27), Shell's current stock price is ARS70500.00. Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS6,019.99. Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 11.71.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shell was 46.83. The lowest was 7.53. And the median was 12.41.


Shell  (BUE:SHEL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=70500.00/6019.99
=11.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shell was 46.83. The lowest was 7.53. And the median was 12.41.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Shell Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 393.39 793.85 2,911.98 3,987.20 6,196.50

Shell Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4,723.71 4,835.23 6,098.85 6,196.50 6,019.99

BUE:SHEL vs XOM, CVX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shell Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BUE:SHEL
60GF Score
Shell PLC BUE:SHEL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Shell's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=565.064/140.8000*140.8000
=565.064

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 140.8000.

Shell Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -6.083 101.000 -8.480
201609 5.906 101.500 8.193
201612 6.706 102.200 9.239
201703 9.753 102.700 13.371
201706 11.184 103.500 15.215
201709 5.397 104.300 7.286
201712 3.232 105.000 4.334
201803 11.264 105.100 15.090
201806 12.580 105.900 16.726
201809 27.719 106.600 36.612
201812 67.656 107.100 88.945
201903 16.706 107.000 21.983
201906 32.226 107.900 42.052
201909 43.395 108.400 56.365
201912 26.725 108.500 34.681
202003 84.042 108.600 108.961
202006 -7.672 108.800 -9.928
202009 63.806 109.200 82.270
202012 11.301 109.400 14.545
202103 50.708 109.700 65.084
202106 101.368 111.400 128.120
202109 143.111 112.400 179.271
202112 25.210 114.700 30.947
202203 148.243 116.500 179.164
202206 191.702 120.500 223.997
202209 137.619 122.300 158.436
202212 376.208 125.300 422.746
202303 226.294 126.800 251.279
202306 368.218 129.400 400.658
202309 367.420 130.100 397.638
202312 305.449 130.500 329.557
202403 1,211.103 131.600 1,295.770
202406 1,264.634 133.000 1,338.801
202409 1,502.839 133.500 1,585.017
202412 1,085.626 135.100 1,131.430
202503 968.886 136.100 1,002.345
202506 1,282.592 138.400 1,304.833
202509 1,759.024 138.900 1,783.086
202512 1,048.687 139.900 1,055.433
202603 565.064 140.800 565.064

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS6,019.99 mean?
Shell (BUE:SHEL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS6,019.99 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shell and its competitors.
Is Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Shell's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS6,019.99. Overall, Shell has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to XOM and CVX?
Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS6,019.99 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shell and its competitors. Shell's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS6,019.99. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shell stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shell (BUE:SHEL) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS56,320.39, compared to a current price of ARS70,500.00 — trading 25.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS6,019.99. Shell's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shell (BUE:SHEL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS6,019.99 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shell (BUE:SHEL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shell stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS70,500.00 is trading 25.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS56,320.39. GuruFocus considers Shell to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:SHEL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS6,019.99
  • GF Value™: ARS56,320.39 vs. price of ARS70,500.00 (25.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:SHEL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shell Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Shell Centre, London, GBR, SE1 7NA
Shell is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil around the world. In 2025, it produced 1.5 million barrels of liquids and 7.3 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At year-end 2025, reserves stood at 8.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 44% of which consisted of liquids. Its production and reserves are in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, and North and South America. The company operates refineries with a capacity of 1.4 mmb/d located in the Americas, Asia, and Europe, and sells about 9 million tons per year of chemicals. Its largest chemical plants, often integrated with its local refineries, are in Northwestern Europe, China, and North America.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:SHEL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS70,500.00
Price
ARS56,320.39
GF Value