Ultrapar Participacoes (BUE:UGP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS486.41 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BUE:UGP Ultrapar Participacoes SA BUE:UGP
67 GF Score
Price ARS9,795.00
GF Value ARS7,227.29
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ultrapar Participacoes Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Ultrapar Participacoes BUE:UGP -0.25% 67 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS486.41 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BUE:UGP with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS7,227.29 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ultrapar Participacoes's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS179.633. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS486.41 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Ultrapar Participacoes's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 23.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Ultrapar Participacoes was 17.00% per year. The lowest was 1.70% per year. And the median was 11.40% per year.

As of today (2026-07-21), Ultrapar Participacoes's current stock price is ARS9795.00. Ultrapar Participacoes's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ARS486.41. Ultrapar Participacoes's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 20.14.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ultrapar Participacoes was 33.52. The lowest was 5.39. And the median was 13.75.


Ultrapar Participacoes  (BUE:UGP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ultrapar Participacoes's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=9795.00/486.41
=20.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ultrapar Participacoes was 33.52. The lowest was 5.39. And the median was 13.75.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Ultrapar Participacoes Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Ultrapar Participacoes Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ultrapar Participacoes's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ultrapar Participacoes Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Ultrapar Participacoes Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.95 73.33 261.16 273.03 436.07

Ultrapar Participacoes Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 331.39 325.93 450.89 436.07 486.41

BUE:UGP vs VLO, MPC, PSX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Ultrapar Participacoes's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ultrapar Participacoes Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ultrapar Participacoes's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ultrapar Participacoes's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


BUE:UGP
67GF Score
Ultrapar Participacoes SA BUE:UGP
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ultrapar Participacoes Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ultrapar Participacoes's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=179.633/175.0655*175.0655
=179.633

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 175.0655.

Ultrapar Participacoes Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.886 108.851 1.425
201609 0.567 109.986 0.902
201612 2.131 110.802 3.367
201703 -0.092 111.869 -0.144
201706 0.797 112.115 1.245
201709 0.034 112.777 0.053
201712 -0.872 114.068 -1.338
201803 -1.319 114.868 -2.010
201806 1.088 117.038 1.627
201809 1.788 117.881 2.655
201812 9.509 118.340 14.067
201903 2.370 120.124 3.454
201906 3.967 120.977 5.741
201909 3.332 121.292 4.809
201912 5.175 123.436 7.340
202003 8.267 124.092 11.663
202006 3.677 123.557 5.210
202009 3.267 125.095 4.572
202012 4.359 129.012 5.915
202103 -1.572 131.660 -2.090
202106 14.519 133.871 18.987
202109 4.853 137.913 6.160
202112 4.593 141.992 5.663
202203 -27.411 146.537 -32.747
202206 2.340 149.784 2.735
202209 22.243 147.800 26.346
202212 33.697 150.207 39.274
202303 -32.009 153.352 -36.541
202306 29.685 154.519 33.632
202309 102.326 155.464 115.228
202312 82.366 157.148 91.757
202403 -137.906 159.372 -151.485
202406 140.695 161.052 152.938
202409 55.873 162.342 60.252
202412 228.157 164.740 242.457
202503 -63.138 168.102 -65.754
202506 84.750 169.670 87.445
202509 383.067 170.739 392.774
202512 432.592 171.765 440.904
202603 179.633 175.066 179.633

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS486.41 mean?
Ultrapar Participacoes (BUE:UGP) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS486.41 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ultrapar Participacoes and its competitors.
Is Ultrapar Participacoes' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Ultrapar Participacoes' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS486.41. Overall, Ultrapar Participacoes has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ultrapar Participacoes' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to VLO and MPC?
Ultrapar Participacoes' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ARS486.41 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ultrapar Participacoes and its competitors. Ultrapar Participacoes's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS486.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ultrapar Participacoes stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ultrapar Participacoes (BUE:UGP) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS7,227.29, compared to a current price of ARS9,795.00 — trading 35.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS486.41. Ultrapar Participacoes' overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ultrapar Participacoes (BUE:UGP), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ARS486.41 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ultrapar Participacoes (BUE:UGP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ultrapar Participacoes stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS9,795.00 is trading 35.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS7,227.29. GuruFocus considers Ultrapar Participacoes to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:UGP:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ARS486.41
  • GF Value™: ARS7,227.29 vs. price of ARS9,795.00 (35.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:UGP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ultrapar Participacoes Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Brigadeiro Luis Antonio Avenue, 1343, 9th Floor, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 01317-910
Ultrapar Participacoes SA engages in the investment of its own capital in services, commercial, and industrial activities, through the subscription or acquisition of shares of other companies. The company's business segments include: i) Ultragaz distributes LPG in the segments: bulk, comprising condominiums, trade, services, industries, and agribusiness; and bottled, mainly comprising residential consumers. ii) Ipiranga, the majority revenue generating segment, engages in the distribution and sale of oil-related products to service stations that operate under the Ipiranga brand throughout Brazil. iii) Ultracargo operates in specialized liquid bulk storage solutions in the main logistics centers. iv) Hidrovias: operates in logistics solutions and waterway and multimodal infrastructure.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:UGP

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS9,795.00
Price
ARS7,227.29
GF Value