Shell (CHIX:SHELL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: £3.15 (As of Mar. 2026)


CHIX:SHELL Shell PLC CHIX:SHELL
77 GF Score
Price £30.40
GF Value £27.90
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Shell CHIX:SHELL -0.02% 77 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is £3.15 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:SHELL with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of £27.90 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shell's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was £0.303. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is £3.15 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Shell's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Shell was 26.00% per year. The lowest was -5.20% per year. And the median was 20.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-12), Shell's current stock price is £30.4025. Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was £3.15. Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 9.65.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shell was 46.83. The lowest was 7.53. And the median was 12.44.


Shell  (CHIX:SHELl) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=30.4025/3.15
=9.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shell was 46.83. The lowest was 7.53. And the median was 12.44.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Shell Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.44 1.92 2.35 2.69 3.04

Shell Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.77 2.91 2.94 3.04 3.15

CHIX:SHELL vs XOM, CVX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shell Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shell's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


CHIX:SHELL
77GF Score
Shell PLC CHIX:SHELL
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shell Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Shell's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.303/140.8000*140.8000
=0.303

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 140.8000.

Shell Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.306 101.000 -0.427
201609 0.301 101.500 0.418
201612 0.339 102.200 0.467
201703 0.512 102.700 0.702
201706 0.530 103.500 0.721
201709 0.231 104.300 0.312
201712 0.126 105.000 0.169
201803 0.400 105.100 0.536
201806 0.379 105.900 0.504
201809 0.576 106.600 0.761
201812 1.418 107.100 1.864
201903 0.324 107.000 0.426
201906 0.569 107.900 0.742
201909 0.627 108.400 0.814
201912 0.341 108.500 0.443
202003 1.094 108.600 1.418
202006 -0.090 108.800 -0.116
202009 0.663 109.200 0.855
202012 0.103 109.400 0.133
202103 0.406 109.700 0.521
202106 0.763 111.400 0.964
202109 1.066 112.400 1.335
202112 0.188 114.700 0.231
202203 1.048 116.500 1.267
202206 1.294 120.500 1.512
202209 0.875 122.300 1.007
202212 1.842 125.300 2.070
202303 0.944 126.800 1.048
202306 1.215 129.400 1.322
202309 0.848 130.100 0.918
202312 0.668 130.500 0.721
202403 1.131 131.600 1.210
202406 1.110 133.000 1.175
202409 1.195 133.500 1.260
202412 0.850 135.100 0.886
202503 0.703 136.100 0.727
202506 0.796 138.400 0.810
202509 0.959 138.900 0.972
202512 0.540 139.900 0.543
202603 0.303 140.800 0.303

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of £3.15 mean?
Shell (CHIX:SHELL) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of £3.15 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shell and its competitors.
Is Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Shell's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is £3.15. Overall, Shell has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to XOM and CVX?
Shell's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of £3.15 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shell and its competitors. Shell's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is £3.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shell stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shell (CHIX:SHELL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is £27.90, compared to a current price of £30.40 — trading 9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is £3.15. Shell's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shell (CHIX:SHELL), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is £3.15 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shell (CHIX:SHELL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shell stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of £30.40 is trading 9% above its estimated GF Value™ of £27.90. GuruFocus considers Shell to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:SHELL:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: £3.15
  • GF Value™: £27.90 vs. price of £30.40 (9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:SHELL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shell Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Shell Centre, London, GBR, SE1 7NA
Shell is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil around the world. In 2025, it produced 1.5 million barrels of liquids and 7.3 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At year-end 2025, reserves stood at 8.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 44% of which consisted of liquids. Its production and reserves are in Europe, Asia, Oceania, Africa, and North and South America. The company operates refineries with a capacity of 1.4 mmb/d located in the Americas, Asia, and Europe, and sells about 9 million tons per year of chemicals. Its largest chemical plants, often integrated with its local refineries, are in Northwestern Europe, China, and North America.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:SHELL

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£30.40
Price
£27.90
GF Value