CVLG (Covenant Logistics Group) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-0.81 (As of Mar. 2026)

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CVLG Covenant Logistics Group Inc CVLG
68 GF Score
Price $36.85
GF Value $27.32
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Covenant Logistics Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Covenant Logistics Group CVLG -11.20% 68 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.81 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates CVLG with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $27.32 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Covenant Logistics Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.666. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-0.81 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Covenant Logistics Group was 13.70% per year. The lowest was -12.70% per year. And the median was 4.30% per year.

As of today (2026-07-31), Covenant Logistics Group's current stock price is $36.85. Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $-0.81. Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


Covenant Logistics Group  (NYSE:CVLG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Covenant Logistics Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Covenant Logistics Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Covenant Logistics Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Covenant Logistics Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.13 -1.08 -1.18 -0.94 -0.73

Covenant Logistics Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.12 -0.83 -0.73 -0.81 0.00

CVLG vs HTLD, MRTN, ULH: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Trucking subindustry, Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Covenant Logistics Group Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


CVLG
68GF Score
Covenant Logistics Group Inc CVLG
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Covenant Logistics Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Covenant Logistics Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.666/330.2130*330.2130
=0.666

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Covenant Logistics Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.832 241.018 -1.140
201609 -0.616 241.428 -0.843
201612 0.231 241.432 0.316
201703 0.223 243.801 0.302
201706 -0.327 244.955 -0.441
201709 -0.632 246.819 -0.846
201712 -0.022 246.524 -0.029
201803 0.123 249.554 0.163
201806 0.714 251.989 0.936
201809 0.709 252.439 0.927
201812 -0.200 251.233 -0.263
201903 -0.776 254.202 -1.008
201906 -0.719 256.143 -0.927
201909 -0.923 256.759 -1.187
201912 0.411 256.974 0.528
202003 -1.071 258.115 -1.370
202006 0.464 257.797 0.594
202009 -0.457 260.280 -0.580
202012 0.223 260.474 0.283
202103 0.167 264.877 0.208
202106 0.424 271.696 0.515
202109 0.774 274.310 0.932
202112 -0.251 278.802 -0.297
202203 0.916 287.504 1.052
202206 0.591 296.311 0.659
202209 0.346 296.808 0.385
202212 -0.031 296.797 -0.034
202303 -0.323 301.836 -0.353
202306 -1.390 305.109 -1.504
202309 -0.452 307.789 -0.485
202312 -2.610 306.746 -2.810
202403 -0.966 312.332 -1.021
202406 -1.017 314.175 -1.069
202409 0.873 315.301 0.914
202412 0.017 315.605 0.018
202503 -0.308 319.799 -0.318
202506 -0.534 322.561 -0.547
202509 -0.297 324.800 -0.302
202512 -0.114 324.054 -0.116
202603 0.666 330.213 0.666

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-0.81 mean?
Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-0.81 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Covenant Logistics Group and its competitors.
Is Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Covenant Logistics Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.81. Overall, Covenant Logistics Group has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to HTLD and MRTN?
Covenant Logistics Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-0.81 can be compared against companies in the Transportation industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Transportation company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Transportation industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Covenant Logistics Group and its competitors. Covenant Logistics Group's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.81. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Covenant Logistics Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $27.32, compared to a current price of $36.85 — trading 34.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.81. Covenant Logistics Group's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.81 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Covenant Logistics Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $36.85 is trading 34.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $27.32. GuruFocus considers Covenant Logistics Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CVLG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-0.81
  • GF Value™: $27.32 vs. price of $36.85 (34.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CVLG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Covenant Logistics Group Business Description

Address 400 Birmingham Highway, Chattanooga, TN, USA, 37419
Covenant Logistics Group Inc together with its wholly-owned subsidiaries, offers truckload transportation and freight brokerage services to customers throughout the continental United States. The company's reportable segments include Expedited, Dedicated Services, Managed Freight, and Warehousing. The expedited segment provides truckload services to customers with high service freight and delivery standards. Dedicated segment provides customers with committed truckload capacity over contracted periods with the goal of three to five years in length. The Managed Freight segment includes brokerage services and TMS. The warehousing segment provides day-to-day warehouse management services to customers who have chosen to outsource this function.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CVLG

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$36.85
Price
$27.32
GF Value