Cenovus Energy (FRA:CXD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €1.04 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:CXD Cenovus Energy Inc FRA:CXD
60 GF Score
Price €24.08
GF Value €13.60
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Cenovus Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cenovus Energy FRA:CXD +1.86% 60 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.04 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:CXD with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of €13.60 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Cenovus Energy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.339. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €1.04 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Cenovus Energy's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 21.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 16.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Cenovus Energy was 32.70% per year. The lowest was 4.60% per year. And the median was 19.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-18), Cenovus Energy's current stock price is €24.075. Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €1.04. Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 23.15.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Cenovus Energy was 46.51. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 22.06.


Cenovus Energy  (FRA:CXD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=24.075/1.04
=23.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Cenovus Energy was 46.51. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 22.06.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Cenovus Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Cenovus Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Cenovus Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Cenovus Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.39 0.68 0.77 0.84 0.96

Cenovus Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.96 1.04

FRA:CXD vs XOM, CVX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cenovus Energy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FRA:CXD
60GF Score
Cenovus Energy Inc FRA:CXD
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Cenovus Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Cenovus Energy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.339/132.2623*132.2623
=0.339

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Cenovus Energy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.032 102.002 -0.041
201609 0.083 101.765 0.108
201612 -0.081 101.449 -0.106
201703 0.013 102.634 0.017
201706 0.548 103.029 0.703
201709 0.083 103.345 0.106
201712 0.168 103.345 0.215
201803 -0.333 105.004 -0.419
201806 0.106 105.557 0.133
201809 0.531 105.636 0.665
201812 0.105 105.399 0.132
201903 0.062 106.979 0.077
201906 0.555 107.690 0.682
201909 0.302 107.611 0.371
201912 0.233 107.769 0.286
202003 -0.098 107.927 -0.120
202006 -0.523 108.401 -0.638
202009 0.303 108.164 0.371
202012 0.000 108.559 0.000
202103 -0.105 110.298 -0.126
202106 0.278 111.720 0.329
202109 0.489 112.905 0.573
202112 0.453 113.774 0.527
202203 0.217 117.646 0.244
202206 0.767 120.806 0.840
202209 1.233 120.648 1.352
202212 0.581 120.964 0.635
202303 -0.484 122.702 -0.522
202306 0.353 124.203 0.376
202309 0.623 125.230 0.658
202312 0.642 125.072 0.679
202403 0.322 126.258 0.337
202406 0.597 127.522 0.619
202409 0.403 127.285 0.419
202412 0.201 127.364 0.209
202503 0.030 129.181 0.031
202506 0.422 129.892 0.430
202509 0.336 130.287 0.341
202512 0.351 130.366 0.356
202603 0.339 132.262 0.339

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.04 mean?
Cenovus Energy (FRA:CXD) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.04 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Cenovus Energy and its competitors.
Is Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Cenovus Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.04. Overall, Cenovus Energy has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to XOM and CVX?
Cenovus Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.04 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Cenovus Energy and its competitors. Cenovus Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cenovus Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cenovus Energy (FRA:CXD) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €13.60, compared to a current price of €24.08 — trading 77% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.04. Cenovus Energy's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cenovus Energy (FRA:CXD), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.04 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Cenovus Energy (FRA:CXD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cenovus Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €24.08 is trading 77% above its estimated GF Value™ of €13.60. GuruFocus considers Cenovus Energy to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:CXD:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €1.04
  • GF Value™: €13.60 vs. price of €24.08 (77% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:CXD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Cenovus Energy Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address 225 - 6 Avenue SW, Suite 4100, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2P 1N2
Cenovus Energy Inc is a Canadian integrated energy group. The group's upstream operations include oil sands projects in northern Alberta; thermal and conventional crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) projects across Western Canada; crude oil production offshore Newfoundland and Labrador; and natural gas and NGLs production offshore China and Indonesia. Its downstream operations include upgrading and refining operations in Canada and the U.S., and commercial fuel operations across Canada. The group's reportable segments are: Oil Sands, Conventional, Offshore, Canadian Refining, U.S Refining, and Corporate and Eliminations. Maximum revenue is generated from its Oil Sands segment. Geographically, the group derives maximum revenue from the U.S., followed by Canada and China.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:CXD

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€24.08
Price
€13.60
GF Value