Carnival (FRA:POH3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €-1.43 (As of Feb. 2026)

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FRA:POH3 Carnival PLC FRA:POH3
56 GF Score
Price €22.20
GF Value €17.84
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Carnival FRA:POH3 56 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-1.43 as of Feb. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:POH3 with a GF Score™ of 56/100 and a GF Value™ of €17.84. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Carnival's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Feb. 2026 was €0.424. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €-1.43 for the trailing ten years ended in Feb. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -11.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Carnival was 27.00% per year. The lowest was -48.80% per year. And the median was -6.60% per year.

As of today (2026-08-09), Carnival's current stock price is €22.20. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Feb. 2026 was €-1.43. Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Carnival was 254.55. The lowest was 4.63. And the median was 36.28.


Carnival  (FRA:POH3) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Carnival was 254.55. The lowest was 4.63. And the median was 36.28.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Carnival Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 Nov19 Nov20 Nov21 Nov22 Nov23 Nov24 Nov25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.34 -1.17 -1.21 -1.23 -1.37

Carnival Quarterly Data
May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.30 -1.32 -1.53 -1.37 -1.43

FRA:POH3 vs CCL, VIK, TCOM: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Travel Services subindustry, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carnival Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FRA:POH3
56GF Score
Carnival PLC FRA:POH3
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Carnival Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Carnival's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Feb. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Feb. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Feb. 2026)
=0.424/140.0000*140.0000
=0.424

Current CPI (Feb. 2026) = 140.0000.

Carnival Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201605 0.289 100.800 0.401
201608 1.182 101.200 1.635
201611 0.482 101.800 0.663
201702 0.671 102.400 0.917
201705 0.585 103.500 0.791
201708 1.181 104.000 1.590
201711 0.446 104.700 0.596
201802 0.552 104.900 0.737
201805 0.469 105.900 0.620
201808 0.938 106.500 1.233
201811 0.186 106.900 0.244
201902 -1.284 106.800 -1.683
201905 1.498 107.900 1.944
201908 1.064 108.300 1.375
201911 -1.208 108.500 -1.559
202002 -0.550 108.600 -0.709
202005 -3.894 108.600 -5.020
202008 -3.354 108.800 -4.316
202011 -3.105 109.100 -3.984
202102 -2.475 109.400 -3.167
202105 -1.266 111.000 -1.597
202108 -1.382 112.100 -1.726
202111 -0.662 114.100 -0.812
202202 -3.054 115.400 -3.705
202205 -0.405 119.700 -0.474
202208 -0.735 121.800 -0.845
202211 -1.012 124.800 -1.135
202302 -0.509 126.000 -0.566
202305 0.321 129.100 0.348
202308 0.655 129.400 0.709
202311 0.181 130.000 0.195
202402 -0.271 130.800 -0.290
202405 0.525 132.700 0.554
202408 0.406 133.400 0.426
202411 0.215 134.600 0.224
202502 0.233 135.600 0.241
202505 0.976 138.000 0.990
202508 0.450 138.900 0.454
202511 0.007 139.400 0.007
202602 0.424 140.000 0.424

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €-1.43 mean?
Carnival (FRA:POH3) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €-1.43 as of Feb. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors.
Is Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Carnival's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-1.43. Overall, Carnival has a GF Score™ of 56/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CCL and VIK?
Carnival's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €-1.43 can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors. Carnival's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-1.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carnival stock overvalued right now?
Carnival (FRA:POH3) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €-1.43. The stock's GF Value™ is €17.84, compared to a current price of €22.20 — trading 24.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-1.43. Carnival's overall GF Score™ is 56/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carnival (FRA:POH3), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €-1.43 as of Feb. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Carnival (FRA:POH3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carnival stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €22.20 is trading 24.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of €17.84.

Key valuation signals for FRA:POH3:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €-1.43
  • GF Value™: €17.84 vs. price of €22.20 (24.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 56/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:POH3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Carnival Business Description

Address Carnival House, 100 Harbour Parade, Southampton, Hampshire, GBR, S015 1ST
Carnival PLC is the largest global cruise company, with nearly 100 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
56GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:POH3

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€22.20
Price
€17.84
GF Value