Waste Connections (FRA:UI51) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €3.57 (As of Mar. 2026)


FRA:UI51 Waste Connections Inc FRA:UI51
81 GF Score
Price €149.52
GF Value €171.36
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Waste Connections FRA:UI51 -0.59% 81 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €3.57 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates FRA:UI51 with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of €171.36 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Waste Connections's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.842. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €3.57 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Waste Connections's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Waste Connections was 23.80% per year. The lowest was 10.10% per year. And the median was 12.35% per year.

As of today (2026-07-09), Waste Connections's current stock price is €149.52. Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €3.57. Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 41.88.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Waste Connections was 53.72. The lowest was 34.22. And the median was 44.37.


Waste Connections  (FRA:UI51) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=149.52/3.57
=41.88

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Waste Connections was 53.72. The lowest was 34.22. And the median was 44.37.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Waste Connections Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.31 2.86 3.05 3.55 3.49

Waste Connections Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.51 3.37 3.44 3.49 3.57

FRA:UI51 vs RSG, CLH, GFL: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Waste Management subindustry, Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Waste Management Industry

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FRA:UI51
81GF Score
Waste Connections Inc FRA:UI51
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Waste Connections's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.842/132.2623*132.2623
=0.842

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Waste Connections Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.166 102.002 0.215
201609 0.630 101.765 0.819
201612 0.419 101.449 0.546
201703 0.695 102.634 0.896
201706 0.516 103.029 0.662
201709 0.704 103.345 0.901
201712 0.437 103.345 0.559
201803 0.662 105.004 0.834
201806 0.800 105.557 1.002
201809 0.652 105.636 0.816
201812 0.667 105.399 0.837
201903 0.835 106.979 1.032
201906 0.836 107.690 1.027
201909 0.758 107.611 0.932
201912 0.524 107.769 0.643
202003 0.794 107.927 0.973
202006 0.798 108.401 0.974
202009 0.741 108.164 0.906
202012 0.143 108.559 0.174
202103 0.969 110.298 1.162
202106 0.868 111.720 1.028
202109 0.695 112.905 0.814
202112 0.554 113.774 0.644
202203 1.010 117.646 1.135
202206 1.151 120.806 1.260
202209 1.095 120.648 1.200
202212 0.834 120.964 0.912
202303 0.965 122.702 1.040
202306 1.273 124.203 1.356
202309 1.207 125.230 1.275
202312 0.843 125.072 0.891
202403 1.140 126.258 1.194
202406 1.416 127.522 1.469
202409 0.996 127.285 1.035
202412 0.635 127.364 0.659
202503 1.176 129.181 1.204
202506 1.181 129.892 1.203
202509 1.258 130.287 1.277
202512 0.524 130.366 0.532
202603 0.842 132.262 0.842

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €3.57 mean?
Waste Connections (FRA:UI51) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €3.57 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Waste Connections and its competitors.
Is Waste Connections' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Waste Connections' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €3.57. Overall, Waste Connections has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Waste Connections' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to RSG and CLH?
Waste Connections' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €3.57 can be compared against companies in the Waste Management industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Waste Management company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Waste Management industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Waste Connections and its competitors. Waste Connections's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €3.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Waste Connections stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Waste Connections (FRA:UI51) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €171.36, compared to a current price of €149.52 — trading 12.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €3.57. Waste Connections' overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Waste Connections (FRA:UI51), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €3.57 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Waste Connections (FRA:UI51) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Waste Connections stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €149.52 is trading 12.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of €171.36. GuruFocus considers Waste Connections to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:UI51:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €3.57
  • GF Value™: €171.36 vs. price of €149.52 (12.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:UI51 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Waste Connections Business Description

Address 6220 Highway 7, Suite 600, Woodbridge, Vaughan, ON, CAN, L4H 4G3
Waste Connections is a North American waste management company focused on integrated waste collection services. The firm primarily focuses on residential, commercial, municipal, and industrial waste collection, with a secondary market focus on rural areas. With 113 landfills and 222 transfer stations as of 2024, it is the third-largest waste management company by revenue. Revenue is split among six operating segments: Western, Southern, Eastern, Central, Canada, and Midsouth.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:UI51

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€149.52
Price
€171.36
GF Value