FSS (Federal Signal) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.20 (As of Jun. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FSS Federal Signal Corp FSS
98 GF Score
Price $122.63
GF Value $125.59
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Federal Signal FSS +0.53% 98 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.20 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates FSS with a GF Score™ of 98/100 and a GF Value™ of $125.59 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Federal Signal's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $1.642. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.20 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Federal Signal's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 27.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Federal Signal was 15.90% per year. The lowest was -13.30% per year. And the median was 1.20% per year.

As of today (2026-08-20), Federal Signal's current stock price is $122.63. Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $2.20. Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 55.74.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Federal Signal was 74.17. The lowest was 14.28. And the median was 38.47.


Federal Signal  (NYSE:FSS) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=122.63/2.20
=55.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Federal Signal was 74.17. The lowest was 14.28. And the median was 38.47.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Federal Signal Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.12 1.20 1.38 1.60 1.83

Federal Signal Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.73 1.75 1.83 2.03 2.20

FSS vs TEX, AGCO, OSK: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


FSS
98GF Score
Federal Signal Corp FSS
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Federal Signal Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Federal Signal's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=1.642/333.9520*333.9520
=1.642

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Federal Signal Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 0.190 241.428 0.263
201612 0.091 241.432 0.126
201703 0.209 243.801 0.286
201706 0.501 244.955 0.683
201709 0.058 246.819 0.078
201712 0.306 246.524 0.415
201803 0.120 249.554 0.161
201806 0.385 251.989 0.510
201809 0.506 252.439 0.669
201812 0.275 251.233 0.366
201903 -0.217 254.202 -0.285
201906 0.485 256.143 0.632
201909 0.342 256.759 0.445
201912 0.485 256.974 0.630
202003 -0.070 258.115 -0.091
202006 0.865 257.797 1.121
202009 0.108 260.280 0.139
202012 0.822 260.474 1.054
202103 0.352 264.877 0.444
202106 0.134 271.696 0.165
202109 0.204 274.310 0.248
202112 0.350 278.802 0.419
202203 -0.435 287.504 -0.505
202206 0.125 296.311 0.141
202209 0.097 296.808 0.109
202212 0.520 296.797 0.585
202303 0.018 301.836 0.020
202306 0.427 305.109 0.467
202309 0.689 307.789 0.748
202312 1.529 306.746 1.665
202403 0.372 312.332 0.398
202406 0.402 314.175 0.427
202409 0.987 315.301 1.045
202412 1.331 315.605 1.408
202503 0.503 319.799 0.525
202506 0.855 322.561 0.885
202509 0.881 324.800 0.906
202512 1.455 324.054 1.499
202603 1.538 330.213 1.555
202606 1.642 333.952 1.642

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.20 mean?
Federal Signal (FSS) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.20 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Federal Signal and its competitors.
Is Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Federal Signal's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.20. Overall, Federal Signal has a GF Score™ of 98/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to TEX and AGCO?
Federal Signal's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $2.20 can be compared against companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Federal Signal and its competitors. Federal Signal's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.20. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Federal Signal stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Federal Signal (FSS) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $125.59, compared to a current price of $122.63 — trading 2.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.20. Federal Signal's overall GF Score™ is 98/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Federal Signal (FSS), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $2.20 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Federal Signal (FSS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Federal Signal stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $122.63 is trading 2.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $125.59. GuruFocus considers Federal Signal to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FSS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $2.20
  • GF Value™: $125.59 vs. price of $122.63 (2.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 98/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the FSS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Federal Signal Business Description

Other Exchanges FSG:Germany
Address 1333 Butterfield Road, Downers Grove, IL, USA, 60515
Federal Signal Corp designs and manufactures products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and airport customers. It operates through two segments. The Environmental Solutions Group manufactures and supplies street sweeper vehicles, sewer cleaner and vacuum loader trucks, hydro-excavation trucks, high-performance water blasting equipment, dump truck bodies, and trailers. The Safety and Security Systems Group manufactures and supplies comprehensive systems and products used by law enforcement, fire rescue, and industrial sites to protect people and property. Its offerings include systems for community alerting and industrial communications. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Environmental Solutions Group segment.
98GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FSS

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$122.63
Price
$125.59
GF Value