Shopify (HAM:307) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €0.40 (As of Mar. 2026)


HAM:307 Shopify Inc HAM:307
85 GF Score
Price €109.10
GF Value €128.17
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Shopify HAM:307 +3.81% 85 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.40 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates HAM:307 with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of €128.17 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shopify's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.316. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €0.40 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Shopify's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 65.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-12), Shopify's current stock price is €109.10. Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €0.40. Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 272.75.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shopify was 865.56. The lowest was 208.92. And the median was 410.60.


Shopify  (HAM:307) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=109.10/0.40
=272.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Shopify was 865.56. The lowest was 208.92. And the median was 410.60.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Shopify Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38

Shopify Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.26 0.28 0.31 0.38 0.40

HAM:307 vs UBER, CRM, CDNS: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Software - Application subindustry, Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shopify Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


HAM:307
85GF Score
Shopify Inc HAM:307
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Shopify Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Shopify's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.316/132.2623*132.2623
=0.316

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Shopify Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.003 102.002 -0.004
201609 -0.005 101.765 -0.006
201612 -0.002 101.449 -0.003
201703 0.000 102.634 0.000
201706 -0.012 103.029 -0.015
201709 -0.009 103.345 -0.012
201712 0.006 103.345 0.008
201803 -0.010 105.004 -0.013
201806 -0.012 105.557 -0.015
201809 -0.004 105.636 -0.005
201812 0.000 105.399 0.000
201903 0.011 106.979 0.014
201906 0.001 107.690 0.001
201909 -0.037 107.611 -0.045
201912 0.031 107.769 0.038
202003 -0.079 107.927 -0.097
202006 0.120 108.401 0.146
202009 0.054 108.164 0.066
202012 0.159 108.559 0.194
202103 0.087 110.298 0.104
202106 0.038 111.720 0.045
202109 0.020 112.905 0.023
202112 0.184 113.774 0.214
202203 -0.030 117.646 -0.034
202206 -0.065 120.806 -0.071
202209 -0.118 120.648 -0.129
202212 0.067 120.964 0.073
202303 0.062 122.702 0.067
202306 0.070 124.203 0.075
202309 0.201 125.230 0.212
202312 0.305 125.072 0.323
202403 0.166 126.258 0.174
202406 0.238 127.522 0.247
202409 0.291 127.285 0.302
202412 0.447 127.364 0.464
202503 0.259 129.181 0.265
202506 0.280 129.892 0.285
202509 0.329 130.287 0.334
202512 0.469 130.366 0.476
202603 0.316 132.262 0.316

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.40 mean?
Shopify (HAM:307) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.40 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shopify and its competitors.
Is Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Shopify's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.40. Overall, Shopify has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to UBER and CRM?
Shopify's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €0.40 can be compared against companies in the Software industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Software company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Software industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Shopify and its competitors. Shopify's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Shopify stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shopify (HAM:307) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €128.17, compared to a current price of €109.10 — trading 14.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.40. Shopify's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Shopify (HAM:307), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €0.40 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Shopify (HAM:307) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Shopify stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €109.10 is trading 14.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of €128.17. GuruFocus considers Shopify to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for HAM:307:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €0.40
  • GF Value™: €128.17 vs. price of €109.10 (14.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:307 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Shopify Business Description

Address 151 O\'Connor Street, Ground Floor, Ottawa, ON, CAN, K2P 2L8
Shopify offers an e-commerce platform primarily to small and medium-size businesses. The firm has two segments. The subscription solutions segment allows Shopify merchants to conduct e-commerce on a variety of platforms, including the company's website, physical stores, pop-up stores, kiosks, social networks (Facebook), and Amazon. The merchant solutions segment offers add-on products for the platform that facilitate e-commerce and include Shopify Payments, Shopify Shipping, and Shopify Capital.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:307

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€109.10
Price
€128.17
GF Value