Etsy (LTS:0IIW) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $3.76 (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LTS:0IIW Etsy Inc LTS:0IIW
80 GF Score
Price $82.01
GF Value $63.46
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Etsy LTS:0IIW -3.56% 80 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.76 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0IIW with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of $63.46 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Etsy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.586. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $3.76 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Etsy's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-21), Etsy's current stock price is $82.01. Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $3.76. Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 21.81.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Etsy was 36.46. The lowest was 12.60. And the median was 18.74.


Etsy  (LTS:0IIW) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=82.01/3.76
=21.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Etsy was 36.46. The lowest was 12.60. And the median was 18.74.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Etsy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 2.48 3.11 3.64

Etsy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.10 3.26 3.47 3.64 3.76

LTS:0IIW vs CHWY, VIPS, GLBE: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Etsy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


LTS:0IIW
80GF Score
Etsy Inc LTS:0IIW
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Etsy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Etsy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.586/330.2130*330.2130
=0.586

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Etsy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.018 241.018 -0.025
201609 -0.004 241.428 -0.005
201612 0.112 241.432 0.153
201703 -0.029 243.801 -0.039
201706 0.071 244.955 0.096
201709 0.123 246.819 0.165
201712 0.284 246.524 0.380
201803 0.182 249.554 0.241
201806 0.282 251.989 0.370
201809 0.189 252.439 0.247
201812 0.742 251.233 0.975
201903 0.210 254.202 0.273
201906 0.348 256.143 0.449
201909 0.343 256.759 0.441
201912 0.611 256.974 0.785
202003 0.226 258.115 0.289
202006 1.637 257.797 2.097
202009 1.333 260.280 1.691
202012 1.688 260.474 2.140
202103 1.000 264.877 1.247
202106 0.804 271.696 0.977
202109 0.548 274.310 0.660
202112 1.874 278.802 2.220
202203 0.343 287.504 0.394
202206 0.808 296.311 0.900
202209 1.520 296.808 1.691
202212 2.269 296.797 2.524
202303 0.332 301.836 0.363
202306 0.908 305.109 0.983
202309 1.495 307.789 1.604
202312 2.056 306.746 2.213
202403 0.438 312.332 0.463
202406 1.058 314.175 1.112
202409 1.563 315.301 1.637
202412 2.388 315.605 2.499
202503 0.345 319.799 0.356
202506 0.730 322.561 0.747
202509 1.642 324.800 1.669
202512 2.107 324.054 2.147
202603 0.586 330.213 0.586

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.76 mean?
Etsy (LTS:0IIW) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.76 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Etsy and its competitors.
Is Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Etsy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.76. Overall, Etsy has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CHWY and VIPS?
Etsy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $3.76 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Retail - Cyclical company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Retail - Cyclical industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Etsy and its competitors. Etsy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.76. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Etsy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Etsy (LTS:0IIW) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $63.46, compared to a current price of $82.01 — trading 29.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.76. Etsy's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Etsy (LTS:0IIW), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $3.76 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Etsy (LTS:0IIW) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Etsy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $82.01 is trading 29.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $63.46. GuruFocus considers Etsy to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0IIW:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $3.76
  • GF Value™: $63.46 vs. price of $82.01 (29.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0IIW stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Etsy Business Description

Address 117 Adams Street, Brooklyn, NY, USA, 11201
Founded in 2005, Etsy operates a leading global marketplace, connecting roughly 87 million active buyers and 6 million sellers of unique, handmade, and vintage goods. In fiscal 2025, the firm generated $2.9 billion in revenue and almost $12 billion in gross merchandise sales. The firm monetizes its marketplace primarily through transaction fees and advertising, with core categories spanning homeware, jewelry, apparel, and craft supplies. The US drives 74% of sales, though its core geographic reach extends to the UK, Germany, Canada, and Australia.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0IIW

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$82.01
Price
$63.46
GF Value