The Cheesecake Factory (MEX:CAKE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN57.69 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:CAKE The Cheesecake Factory Inc MEX:CAKE
59 GF Score
Price MXN1,750.00
GF Value MXN859.29
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Cheesecake Factory Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

The Cheesecake Factory MEX:CAKE 59 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN57.69 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CAKE with a GF Score™ of 59/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN859.29 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

The Cheesecake Factory's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN19.736. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN57.69 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, The Cheesecake Factory's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of The Cheesecake Factory was 160.90% per year. The lowest was -18.60% per year. And the median was 16.25% per year.

As of today (2026-08-01), The Cheesecake Factory's current stock price is MXN1750.00. The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN57.69. The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 30.33.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of The Cheesecake Factory was 36.33. The lowest was 5.74. And the median was 17.09.


The Cheesecake Factory  (MEX:CAKE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1750.00/57.69
=30.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of The Cheesecake Factory was 36.33. The lowest was 5.74. And the median was 17.09.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


The Cheesecake Factory Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


The Cheesecake Factory Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Cheesecake Factory Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

The Cheesecake Factory Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 56.50 47.84 54.95 52.23

The Cheesecake Factory Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 46.70 51.94 52.23 57.69 0.00

MEX:CAKE vs WING, SHAK, ARCO: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Cheesecake Factory Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:CAKE
59GF Score
The Cheesecake Factory Inc MEX:CAKE
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Cheesecake Factory Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, The Cheesecake Factory's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=19.736/330.2130*330.2130
=19.736

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

The Cheesecake Factory Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 21.629 241.018 29.633
201609 14.090 241.428 19.272
201612 19.386 241.432 26.515
201703 10.935 243.801 14.811
201706 15.126 244.955 20.391
201709 3.922 246.819 5.247
201712 15.286 246.524 20.475
201803 17.143 249.554 22.684
201806 18.621 251.989 24.401
201809 5.151 252.439 6.738
201812 36.412 251.233 47.859
201903 8.654 254.202 11.242
201906 14.639 256.143 18.872
201909 6.680 256.759 8.591
201912 31.430 256.974 40.388
202003 -26.185 258.115 -33.499
202006 -8.655 257.797 -11.086
202009 -3.037 260.280 -3.853
202012 10.580 260.474 13.413
202103 6.446 264.877 8.036
202106 36.295 271.696 44.112
202109 -11.949 274.310 -14.384
202112 30.536 278.802 36.167
202203 1.671 287.504 1.919
202206 14.447 296.311 16.100
202209 -8.304 296.808 -9.239
202212 11.189 296.797 12.449
202303 9.737 301.836 10.652
202306 4.042 305.109 4.375
202309 4.122 307.789 4.422
202312 5.281 306.746 5.685
202403 10.031 312.332 10.605
202406 -0.730 314.175 -0.767
202409 10.261 315.301 10.746
202412 22.658 315.605 23.707
202503 14.764 319.799 15.245
202506 5.987 322.561 6.129
202509 20.209 324.800 20.546
202512 18.489 324.054 18.840
202603 19.736 330.213 19.736

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN57.69 mean?
The Cheesecake Factory (MEX:CAKE) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN57.69 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The Cheesecake Factory and its competitors.
Is The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
The Cheesecake Factory's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN57.69. Overall, The Cheesecake Factory has a GF Score™ of 59/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to WING and SHAK?
The Cheesecake Factory's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN57.69 can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Restaurants company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The Cheesecake Factory and its competitors. The Cheesecake Factory's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN57.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Cheesecake Factory stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Cheesecake Factory (MEX:CAKE) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN859.29, compared to a current price of MXN1,750.00 — trading 103.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN57.69. The Cheesecake Factory's overall GF Score™ is 59/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Cheesecake Factory (MEX:CAKE), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN57.69 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Cheesecake Factory (MEX:CAKE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Cheesecake Factory stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN1,750.00 is trading 103.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN859.29. GuruFocus considers The Cheesecake Factory to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CAKE:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN57.69
  • GF Value™: MXN859.29 vs. price of MXN1,750.00 (103.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 59/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CAKE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Cheesecake Factory Business Description

Address 26901 Malibu Hills Road, Calabasas Hills, CA, USA, 91301
The Cheesecake Factory Inc is a restaurant company that owns and operates multiple casual dining brands across the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and additional brands within its Fox Restaurant Concepts portfolio. The company's international presence, in the Middle East and Mexico, is through licensing agreements with third parties. The company also has a bakery division that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for sale in its restaurants, international licensees, and third-party bakery customers. The company has four operating business segments: The Cheesecake Factory restaurants, North Italia, Other FRC, and Other. The majority of the company's revenue comes from the Cheesecake Factory restaurants segment.
59GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CAKE

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,750.00
Price
MXN859.29
GF Value