Caterpillar (MEX:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN215.29 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:CAT Caterpillar Inc MEX:CAT
76 GF Score
Price MXN16,694.00
GF Value MXN7,331.74
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Caterpillar MEX:CAT 76 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN215.29 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:CAT with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN7,331.74 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN31.706. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN215.29 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Caterpillar's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.60% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Caterpillar was 91.20% per year. The lowest was -30.60% per year. And the median was 11.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-06), Caterpillar's current stock price is MXN16694.00. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN215.29. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 77.54.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Caterpillar was 82.57. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 28.28.


Caterpillar  (MEX:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=16694.00/215.29
=77.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Caterpillar was 82.57. The lowest was 14.14. And the median was 28.28.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 143.33 162.96 160.43 216.54 209.73

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 218.13 204.46 206.00 209.73 215.29

MEX:CAT vs DE, PCAR, CNH: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:CAT
76GF Score
Caterpillar Inc MEX:CAT
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Caterpillar's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=31.706/330.2130*330.2130
=31.706

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Caterpillar Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 45.527 241.018 62.375
201609 18.889 241.428 25.835
201612 32.942 241.432 45.056
201703 32.789 243.801 44.411
201706 53.645 244.955 72.316
201709 22.016 246.819 29.455
201712 -5.106 246.524 -6.839
201803 5.319 249.554 7.038
201806 44.782 251.989 58.684
201809 24.504 252.439 32.053
201812 42.454 251.233 55.800
201903 19.237 254.202 24.989
201906 64.018 256.143 82.530
201909 4.855 256.759 6.244
201912 54.828 256.974 70.454
202003 24.763 258.115 31.680
202006 39.890 257.797 51.095
202009 50.174 260.280 63.655
202012 52.275 260.474 66.271
202103 52.789 264.877 65.810
202106 55.296 271.696 67.205
202109 43.294 274.310 52.117
202112 23.670 278.802 28.035
202203 -13.538 287.504 -15.549
202206 61.699 296.311 68.758
202209 71.066 296.808 79.064
202212 75.855 296.797 84.395
202303 28.561 301.836 31.246
202306 84.621 305.109 91.584
202309 111.425 307.789 119.543
202312 105.365 306.746 113.426
202403 43.954 312.332 46.470
202406 86.155 314.175 90.553
202409 115.140 315.301 120.585
202412 101.836 315.605 106.550
202503 15.909 319.799 16.427
202506 86.538 322.561 88.591
202509 103.878 324.800 105.609
202512 86.343 324.054 87.984
202603 31.706 330.213 31.706

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN215.29 mean?
Caterpillar (MEX:CAT) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN215.29 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Caterpillar and its competitors.
Is Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Caterpillar's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN215.29. Overall, Caterpillar has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DE and PCAR?
Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN215.29 can be compared against companies in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Caterpillar and its competitors. Caterpillar's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN215.29. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Caterpillar stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Caterpillar (MEX:CAT) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN7,331.74, compared to a current price of MXN16,694.00 — trading 127.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN215.29. Caterpillar's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Caterpillar (MEX:CAT), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN215.29 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Caterpillar (MEX:CAT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Caterpillar stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN16,694.00 is trading 127.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN7,331.74. GuruFocus considers Caterpillar to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:CAT:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN215.29
  • GF Value™: MXN7,331.74 vs. price of MXN16,694.00 (127.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CAT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Caterpillar Business Description

Address 5205 N. O\'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. Its reporting segments are construction, resource, energy, and transportation. Market share approaches 20% across many products. Caterpillar operates a captive finance subsidiary to facilitate sales. The firm has a global reach that is approximately evenly balanced between the US and the rest of the world. Construction skews more domestic, while the other divisions are more geographically diversified. An independent network of over 150 dealers operates approximately 2,800 facilities, giving Caterpillar reach into about 190 countries for sales and support services.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:CAT

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN16,694.00
Price
MXN7,331.74
GF Value