El Pollo Loco Holdings (MEX:LOCO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN16.33 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc MEX:LOCO
70 GF Score
Price MXN297.73
GF Value MXN210.85
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is El Pollo Loco Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

El Pollo Loco Holdings MEX:LOCO 70 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN16.33 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:LOCO with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN210.85. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

El Pollo Loco Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN1.676. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN16.33 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, El Pollo Loco Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of El Pollo Loco Holdings was 8.80% per year. The lowest was 8.80% per year. And the median was 8.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-16), El Pollo Loco Holdings's current stock price is MXN297.73. El Pollo Loco Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN16.33. El Pollo Loco Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 18.23.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of El Pollo Loco Holdings was 22.13. The lowest was 12.55. And the median was 15.26.


El Pollo Loco Holdings  (MEX:LOCO) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

El Pollo Loco Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=297.73/16.33
=18.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of El Pollo Loco Holdings was 22.13. The lowest was 12.55. And the median was 15.26.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


El Pollo Loco Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


El Pollo Loco Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for El Pollo Loco Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

El Pollo Loco Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

El Pollo Loco Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 17.64 21.94 19.09 21.63

El Pollo Loco Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.81 19.47 22.71 21.63 16.33

MEX:LOCO vs DIN, NATH, CNNE: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, El Pollo Loco Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


El Pollo Loco Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, El Pollo Loco Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where El Pollo Loco Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:LOCO
70GF Score
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc MEX:LOCO
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

El Pollo Loco Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, El Pollo Loco Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=1.676/330.2130*330.2130
=1.676

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

El Pollo Loco Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.778 241.018 1.066
201609 3.215 241.428 4.397
201612 -0.695 241.432 -0.951
201703 3.629 243.801 4.915
201706 1.922 244.955 2.591
201709 5.767 246.819 7.716
201712 -3.261 246.524 -4.368
201803 2.649 249.554 3.505
201806 3.016 251.989 3.952
201809 4.395 252.439 5.749
201812 -1.647 251.233 -2.165
201903 2.846 254.202 3.697
201906 0.581 256.143 0.749
201909 7.640 256.759 9.826
201912 -0.188 256.974 -0.242
202003 -6.075 258.115 -7.772
202006 11.578 257.797 14.830
202009 12.598 260.280 15.983
202012 2.564 260.474 3.250
202103 1.202 264.877 1.498
202106 8.557 271.696 10.400
202109 6.664 274.310 8.022
202112 3.056 278.802 3.620
202203 -3.317 287.504 -3.810
202206 5.001 296.311 5.573
202209 3.249 296.808 3.615
202212 5.160 296.797 5.741
202303 -1.068 301.836 -1.168
202306 7.102 305.109 7.686
202309 2.420 307.789 2.596
202312 1.139 306.746 1.226
202403 3.756 312.332 3.971
202406 6.289 314.175 6.610
202409 6.115 315.301 6.404
202412 0.802 315.605 0.839
202503 0.939 319.799 0.970
202506 5.853 322.561 5.992
202509 6.182 324.800 6.285
202512 3.098 324.054 3.157
202603 1.676 330.213 1.676

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN16.33 mean?
El Pollo Loco Holdings (MEX:LOCO) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN16.33 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on El Pollo Loco Holdings and its competitors.
Is El Pollo Loco Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
El Pollo Loco Holdings' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN16.33. Overall, El Pollo Loco Holdings has a GF Score™ of 70/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does El Pollo Loco Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DIN and NATH?
El Pollo Loco Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN16.33 can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Restaurants company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on El Pollo Loco Holdings and its competitors. El Pollo Loco Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN16.33. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is El Pollo Loco Holdings stock overvalued right now?
El Pollo Loco Holdings (MEX:LOCO) has a current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN16.33. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN210.85, compared to a current price of MXN297.73 — trading 41.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN16.33. El Pollo Loco Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For El Pollo Loco Holdings (MEX:LOCO), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN16.33 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is El Pollo Loco Holdings (MEX:LOCO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, El Pollo Loco Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN297.73 is trading 41.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN210.85.

Key valuation signals for MEX:LOCO:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN16.33
  • GF Value™: MXN210.85 vs. price of MXN297.73 (41.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:LOCO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


El Pollo Loco Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges LOCO:USAEP6:Germany
Address 575 Anton Boulevard, Suite 1100, Costa Mesa, CA, USA, 92626
El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc operates and franchises hundreds of fast-casual chicken restaurants in the United States. It specializes in fire-grilling citrus-marinated chicken and operates in the limited service restaurant market segment. Its offerings include Mexican-inspired menu items, including burritos, tostadas, bowls, salads, and bone-in chicken meals in various portion sizes. It also offers citrus-marinated fire-grilled chicken, along with a range of salsas and dressings that allow customers to customize their meals. The company operates in one operating segment. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from company-operated restaurant revenue.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:LOCO

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN297.73
Price
MXN210.85
GF Value