McDonald's (MEX:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN156.62 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:MCD McDonald's Corp MEX:MCD
64 GF Score
Price MXN4,809.10
GF Value MXN5,700.56
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

McDonald's MEX:MCD -1.45% 64 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN156.62 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:MCD with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN5,700.56 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN43.723. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN156.62 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, McDonald's's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of McDonald's was 37.20% per year. The lowest was 6.40% per year. And the median was 12.20% per year.

As of today (2026-07-12), McDonald's's current stock price is MXN4809.10. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN156.62. McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 30.71.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 26.19. And the median was 38.06.


McDonald's  (MEX:MCD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=4809.10/156.62
=30.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of McDonald's was 44.92. The lowest was 26.19. And the median was 38.06.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

McDonald's Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 126.56 132.18 126.68 165.96 155.08

McDonald's Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 165.44 156.52 156.16 155.08 156.62

MEX:MCD vs SBUX, YUM, CMG: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:MCD
64GF Score
McDonald's Corp MEX:MCD
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

McDonald's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, McDonald's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=43.723/330.2130*330.2130
=43.723

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

McDonald's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 19.018 241.018 26.056
201609 42.102 241.428 57.585
201612 3.565 241.432 4.876
201703 25.471 243.801 34.499
201706 18.639 244.955 25.126
201709 28.278 246.819 37.832
201712 11.457 246.524 15.346
201803 24.848 249.554 32.879
201806 18.162 251.989 23.800
201809 42.403 252.439 55.467
201812 16.119 251.233 21.186
201903 37.843 254.202 49.159
201906 33.178 256.143 42.772
201909 44.916 256.759 57.766
201912 28.901 256.974 37.138
202003 33.218 258.115 42.497
202006 -15.975 257.797 -20.462
202009 75.089 260.280 95.264
202012 40.518 260.474 51.366
202103 47.776 264.877 59.561
202106 33.100 271.696 40.229
202109 57.820 274.310 69.603
202112 54.030 278.802 63.993
202203 46.131 287.504 52.984
202206 4.886 296.311 5.445
202209 51.755 296.808 57.580
202212 44.304 296.797 49.292
202303 46.980 301.836 51.397
202306 26.779 305.109 28.982
202309 58.547 307.789 62.812
202312 40.395 306.746 43.485
202403 42.137 312.332 44.549
202406 26.922 314.175 28.296
202409 53.109 315.301 55.621
202412 52.871 315.605 55.318
202503 53.467 319.799 55.208
202506 32.904 322.561 33.685
202509 61.933 324.800 62.965
202512 41.307 324.054 42.092
202603 43.723 330.213 43.723

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN156.62 mean?
McDonald's (MEX:MCD) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN156.62 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on McDonald's and its competitors.
Is McDonald's' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
McDonald's' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN156.62. Overall, McDonald's has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does McDonald's' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to SBUX and YUM?
McDonald's' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN156.62 can be compared against companies in the Restaurants industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Restaurants company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Restaurants industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on McDonald's and its competitors. McDonald's's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN156.62. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is McDonald's stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, McDonald's (MEX:MCD) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN5,700.56, compared to a current price of MXN4,809.10 — trading 15.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN156.62. McDonald's' overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For McDonald's (MEX:MCD), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN156.62 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is McDonald's (MEX:MCD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, McDonald's stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN4,809.10 is trading 15.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN5,700.56. GuruFocus considers McDonald's to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:MCD:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN156.62
  • GF Value™: MXN5,700.56 vs. price of MXN4,809.10 (15.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:MCD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


McDonald's Business Description

Address 110 North Carpenter Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60607
McDonald's is the world's largest restaurant brand, with nearly $139 billion in systemwide sales across more than 45,000 restaurants and over 100 markets. The quick-service chain built its early reputation on speed, consistency, and affordable hamburgers, and today its global menu spans burgers, chicken, breakfast, and beverages that have helped popularize American fast-food cuisine worldwide. The firm derives the bulk of its revenue from franchise royalties and rent (about 62%), with the remainder stemming from company-operated restaurants across three segments: the United States (39% of systemwide sales), international operated markets (35%), and international developmental/licensed markets (26%).
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:MCD

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN4,809.10
Price
MXN5,700.56
GF Value