NRG Energy (MEX:NRG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN63.91 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:NRG NRG Energy Inc MEX:NRG
51 GF Score
Price MXN2,520.00
GF Value MXN1,987.97
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is NRG Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

NRG Energy MEX:NRG 51 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN63.91 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:NRG with a GF Score™ of 51/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,987.97 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

NRG Energy's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN-42.134. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN63.91 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, NRG Energy's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -7.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.30% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 35.90% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 42.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of NRG Energy was 131.50% per year. The lowest was -71.90% per year. And the median was 33.75% per year.

As of today (2026-07-26), NRG Energy's current stock price is MXN2520.00. NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN63.91. NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 39.43.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of NRG Energy was 128.85. The lowest was 10.18. And the median was 40.51.


NRG Energy  (MEX:NRG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=2520.00/63.91
=39.43

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of NRG Energy was 128.85. The lowest was 10.18. And the median was 40.51.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


NRG Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


NRG Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NRG Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

NRG Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.86 69.31

NRG Energy Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 86.25 75.34 75.23 69.31 63.91

MEX:NRG vs TLN, OKLO, VST: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NRG Energy Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:NRG
51GF Score
NRG Energy Inc MEX:NRG
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

NRG Energy Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, NRG Energy's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-42.134/330.2130*330.2130
=-42.134

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

NRG Energy Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 4.638 241.018 6.354
201609 43.185 241.428 59.066
201612 20.229 241.432 27.668
201703 -18.591 243.801 -25.180
201706 -10.640 244.955 -14.343
201709 57.206 246.819 76.534
201712 51.980 246.524 69.626
201803 11.002 249.554 14.558
201806 2.253 251.989 2.952
201809 30.841 252.439 40.343
201812 17.759 251.233 23.342
201903 -9.699 254.202 -12.599
201906 32.878 256.143 42.385
201909 30.616 256.759 39.375
201912 35.250 256.974 45.296
202003 12.619 258.115 16.144
202006 41.097 257.797 52.641
202009 56.986 260.280 72.297
202012 32.171 260.474 40.784
202103 -82.181 264.877 -102.452
202106 99.043 271.696 120.375
202109 117.665 274.310 141.645
202112 -118.228 278.802 -140.029
202203 131.478 287.504 151.009
202206 120.708 296.311 134.519
202209 -129.763 296.808 -144.368
202212 -128.589 296.797 -143.067
202303 -137.774 301.836 -150.727
202306 28.154 305.109 30.470
202309 29.807 307.789 31.979
202312 10.475 306.746 11.276
202403 14.813 312.332 15.661
202406 81.242 314.175 85.389
202409 -8.371 315.301 -8.767
202412 76.238 315.605 79.767
202503 63.995 319.799 66.079
202506 6.629 322.561 6.786
202509 21.731 324.800 22.093
202512 -15.860 324.054 -16.161
202603 -42.134 330.213 -42.134

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN63.91 mean?
NRG Energy (MEX:NRG) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN63.91 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on NRG Energy and its competitors.
Is NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
NRG Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN63.91. Overall, NRG Energy has a GF Score™ of 51/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to TLN and OKLO?
NRG Energy's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN63.91 can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on NRG Energy and its competitors. NRG Energy's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN63.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NRG Energy stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NRG Energy (MEX:NRG) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,987.97, compared to a current price of MXN2,520.00 — trading 26.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN63.91. NRG Energy's overall GF Score™ is 51/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NRG Energy (MEX:NRG), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN63.91 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NRG Energy (MEX:NRG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NRG Energy stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN2,520.00 is trading 26.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,987.97. GuruFocus considers NRG Energy to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:NRG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN63.91
  • GF Value™: MXN1,987.97 vs. price of MXN2,520.00 (26.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 51/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:NRG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NRG Energy Business Description

Address 1301 McKinney Street, Houston, TX, USA, 77010
NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the US, with 6 million customers. Vivint Smart Home, which NRG acquired in 2023, has 2 million home-services customers. NRG also is one of the largest US independent power producers, with 26 gigawatts of coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity in Texas and the Eastern US. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.
51GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:NRG

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN2,520.00
Price
MXN1,987.97
GF Value