O'Reilly Automotive (MEX:ORLY) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN37.05 (As of Mar. 2026)

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MEX:ORLY O'Reilly Automotive Inc MEX:ORLY
94 GF Score
Price MXN1,450.00
GF Value MXN1,598.30
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is O'Reilly Automotive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

O'Reilly Automotive MEX:ORLY 94 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.05 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:ORLY with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN1,598.30 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

O'Reilly Automotive's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN16.876. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN37.05 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, O'Reilly Automotive's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 24.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of O'Reilly Automotive was 135.10% per year. The lowest was 12.60% per year. And the median was 26.35% per year.

As of today (2026-07-23), O'Reilly Automotive's current stock price is MXN1450.00. O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN37.05. O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 39.14.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of O'Reilly Automotive was 69.20. The lowest was 28.83. And the median was 43.17.


O'Reilly Automotive  (MEX:ORLY) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1450.00/37.05
=39.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of O'Reilly Automotive was 69.20. The lowest was 28.83. And the median was 43.17.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


O'Reilly Automotive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


O'Reilly Automotive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

O'Reilly Automotive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

O'Reilly Automotive Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.54 26.57 27.52 37.50 35.48

O'Reilly Automotive Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.42 35.58 34.84 35.48 37.05

MEX:ORLY vs AZO, GPC, BWA: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Auto Parts subindustry, O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


O'Reilly Automotive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:ORLY
94GF Score
O'Reilly Automotive Inc MEX:ORLY
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

O'Reilly Automotive Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, O'Reilly Automotive's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=16.876/330.2130*330.2130
=16.876

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

O'Reilly Automotive Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 2.651 241.018 3.632
201609 3.349 241.428 4.581
201612 2.553 241.432 3.492
201703 3.572 243.801 4.838
201706 2.863 244.955 3.859
201709 3.528 246.819 4.720
201712 3.037 246.524 4.068
201803 4.549 249.554 6.019
201806 5.296 251.989 6.940
201809 5.215 252.439 6.822
201812 3.764 251.233 4.947
201903 4.692 254.202 6.095
201906 4.306 256.143 5.551
201909 7.816 256.759 10.052
201912 1.183 256.974 1.520
202003 6.731 258.115 8.611
202006 20.333 257.797 26.045
202009 13.251 260.280 16.811
202012 7.022 260.474 8.902
202103 15.271 264.877 19.038
202106 13.116 271.696 15.941
202109 14.540 274.310 17.503
202112 10.869 278.802 12.873
202203 11.575 287.504 13.294
202206 11.785 296.311 13.133
202209 16.823 296.808 18.716
202212 12.775 296.797 14.213
202303 9.446 301.836 10.334
202306 13.036 305.109 14.109
202309 10.987 307.789 11.787
202312 5.010 306.746 5.393
202403 8.467 312.332 8.952
202406 14.966 314.175 15.730
202409 11.560 315.301 12.107
202412 8.008 315.605 8.379
202503 11.081 319.799 11.442
202506 10.004 322.561 10.241
202509 6.549 324.800 6.658
202512 7.736 324.054 7.883
202603 16.876 330.213 16.876

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN37.05 mean?
O'Reilly Automotive (MEX:ORLY) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN37.05 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on O'Reilly Automotive and its competitors.
Is O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
O'Reilly Automotive's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.05. Overall, O'Reilly Automotive has a GF Score™ of 94/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to AZO and GPC?
O'Reilly Automotive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN37.05 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on O'Reilly Automotive and its competitors. O'Reilly Automotive's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is O'Reilly Automotive stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, O'Reilly Automotive (MEX:ORLY) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,598.30, compared to a current price of MXN1,450.00 — trading 9.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.05. O'Reilly Automotive's overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For O'Reilly Automotive (MEX:ORLY), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN37.05 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is O'Reilly Automotive (MEX:ORLY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, O'Reilly Automotive stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,450.00 is trading 9.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,598.30. GuruFocus considers O'Reilly Automotive to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:ORLY:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN37.05
  • GF Value™: MXN1,598.30 vs. price of MXN1,450.00 (9.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:ORLY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


O'Reilly Automotive Business Description

Address 233 South Patterson Avenue, Springfield, MO, USA, 65802
Founded in 1957, O'Reilly Auto Parts is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories, serving both DIY and professional customers. The company operates nearly 6,600 stores across 48 US states, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. In fiscal 2025, O'Reilly generated nearly $18 billion in sales, with its dual market strategy yielding a balanced revenue mix, split between retail DIY customers (49%) and professional service orders (49%). The balance of its sales is derived from noncore categories, including wholesale distribution to independent parts distributors, heavy-shop equipment sales, and value-added services.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:ORLY

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,450.00
Price
MXN1,598.30
GF Value