Tesla (MEX:TSLA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN11.82 (As of Mar. 2026)


MEX:TSLA Tesla Inc MEX:TSLA
81 GF Score
Price MXN7,157.78
GF Value MXN5,096.94
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Tesla Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Tesla MEX:TSLA +0.87% 81 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.82 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:TSLA with a GF Score™ of 81/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN5,096.94 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Tesla's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN7.360. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is MXN11.82 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Tesla's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 112.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Tesla was 51.30% per year. The lowest was 18.30% per year. And the median was 34.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-11), Tesla's current stock price is MXN7157.78. Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was MXN11.82. Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 605.57.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Tesla was 26053.00. The lowest was 528.71. And the median was 1107.87.


Tesla  (MEX:TSLA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=7157.78/11.82
=605.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Tesla was 26053.00. The lowest was 528.71. And the median was 1107.87.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Tesla Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Tesla Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tesla Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Tesla Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -6.16 -1.17 1.19 5.02 10.46

Tesla Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.34 6.57 9.33 10.46 11.82

MEX:TSLA vs GM, F, RIVN: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tesla Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


MEX:TSLA
81GF Score
Tesla Inc MEX:TSLA
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tesla Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Tesla's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=7.36/330.2130*330.2130
=7.360

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Tesla Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -1.272 241.018 -1.743
201609 1.446 241.428 1.978
201612 -10.009 241.432 -13.690
201703 -6.522 243.801 -8.834
201706 -9.906 244.955 -13.354
201709 -11.175 246.819 -14.951
201712 -3.064 246.524 -4.104
201803 -8.070 249.554 -10.678
201806 -6.218 251.989 -8.148
201809 5.828 252.439 7.624
201812 6.689 251.233 8.792
201903 -7.064 254.202 -9.176
201906 4.276 256.143 5.513
201909 2.470 256.759 3.177
201912 6.802 256.974 8.741
202003 -7.242 258.115 -9.265
202006 2.956 257.797 3.786
202009 9.156 260.280 11.616
202012 10.621 260.474 13.465
202103 -7.331 264.877 -9.139
202106 3.611 271.696 4.389
202109 8.069 274.310 9.713
202112 16.863 278.802 19.973
202203 12.697 287.504 14.583
202206 3.607 296.311 4.020
202209 19.123 296.808 21.275
202212 7.960 296.797 8.856
202303 2.287 301.836 2.502
202306 4.954 305.109 5.362
202309 4.234 307.789 4.542
202312 10.014 306.746 10.780
202403 -12.076 312.332 -12.767
202406 7.052 314.175 7.412
202409 15.439 315.301 16.169
202412 12.034 315.605 12.591
202503 3.858 319.799 3.984
202506 0.781 322.561 0.800
202509 20.758 324.800 21.104
202512 7.217 324.054 7.354
202603 7.360 330.213 7.360

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN11.82 mean?
Tesla (MEX:TSLA) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN11.82 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Tesla and its competitors.
Is Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Tesla's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.82. Overall, Tesla has a GF Score™ of 81/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to GM and F?
Tesla's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of MXN11.82 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Tesla and its competitors. Tesla's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tesla stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tesla (MEX:TSLA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN5,096.94, compared to a current price of MXN7,157.78 — trading 40.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.82. Tesla's overall GF Score™ is 81/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tesla (MEX:TSLA), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is MXN11.82 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tesla (MEX:TSLA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tesla stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN7,157.78 is trading 40.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN5,096.94. GuruFocus considers Tesla to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:TSLA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: MXN11.82
  • GF Value™: MXN5,096.94 vs. price of MXN7,157.78 (40.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 81/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:TSLA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tesla Business Description

Address 1 Tesla Road, Austin, TX, USA, 78725
Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of real-world artificial intelligence software, which includes autonomous driving and humanoid robots. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include a midsize sedan and crossover SUV in the entry-level luxury category, a luxury light truck, and a semitruck. Tesla also runs a robotaxi service in four US metropolitan areas. Global deliveries in 2025 were nearly 1.64 million vehicles. Additionally, the company sells batteries for stationary storage for residential and commercial properties, including utilities, solar panels, and solar roofs for energy generation. Tesla also owns a fast-charging network and a US auto insurance business.
81GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:TSLA

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN7,157.78
Price
MXN5,096.94
GF Value