Toyota Tsusho (NGO:8015) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: 円151.65 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NGO:8015 Toyota Tsusho Corp NGO:8015
75 GF Score
Price 円6,630.00
GF Value 円3,762.99
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
View Full Analysis

What is Toyota Tsusho Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Toyota Tsusho NGO:8015 75 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円151.65 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates NGO:8015 with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of 円3,762.99 (Significantly Overvalued).

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Toyota Tsusho's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was 円137.538. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is 円151.65 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Toyota Tsusho's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Toyota Tsusho was 20.60% per year. The lowest was -3.60% per year. And the median was 6.90% per year.

As of today (2026-07-22), Toyota Tsusho's current stock price is 円6630.00. Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 円151.65. Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 43.72.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Toyota Tsusho was 44.02. The lowest was 6.14. And the median was 15.61.


Toyota Tsusho  (NGO:8015) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=6630.00/151.65
=43.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Toyota Tsusho was 44.02. The lowest was 6.14. And the median was 15.61.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Toyota Tsusho Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Toyota Tsusho Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toyota Tsusho Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Toyota Tsusho Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 90.40 101.07 112.73 175.40 151.65

Toyota Tsusho Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 175.40 143.84 145.23 175.15 151.65

NGO:8015 vs HON, MMM: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toyota Tsusho Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


NGO:8015
75GF Score
Toyota Tsusho Corp NGO:8015
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toyota Tsusho Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Toyota Tsusho's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=137.538/112.7000*112.7000
=137.538

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 112.7000.

Toyota Tsusho Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 54.602 98.100 62.728
201609 1.140 98.000 1.311
201612 -19.153 98.400 -21.936
201703 33.871 98.100 38.912
201706 16.461 98.500 18.834
201709 21.276 98.800 24.269
201712 -12.398 99.400 -14.057
201803 107.618 99.200 122.264
201806 -24.806 99.200 -28.182
201809 45.039 99.900 50.810
201812 8.800 99.700 9.947
201903 74.815 99.700 84.570
201906 36.936 99.800 41.710
201909 12.476 100.100 14.046
201912 35.330 100.500 39.619
202003 57.453 100.300 64.556
202006 11.810 99.900 13.323
202009 63.636 99.900 71.790
202012 34.828 99.300 39.528
202103 -8.579 99.900 -9.678
202106 2.393 99.500 2.710
202109 -64.712 100.100 -72.858
202112 -26.497 100.100 -29.832
202203 -22.169 101.100 -24.713
202206 -13.549 101.800 -15.000
202209 12.222 103.100 13.360
202212 55.441 104.100 60.021
202303 195.427 104.400 210.964
202306 40.656 105.200 43.554
202309 64.335 106.200 68.273
202312 108.820 106.800 114.832
202403 111.333 107.200 117.045
202406 34.846 108.200 36.295
202409 27.784 108.900 28.754
202412 81.437 110.700 82.908
202503 152.079 111.100 154.269
202506 -5.351 111.700 -5.399
202509 58.212 112.000 58.576
202512 72.651 113.000 72.458
202603 137.538 112.700 137.538

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of 円151.65 mean?
Toyota Tsusho (NGO:8015) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of 円151.65 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toyota Tsusho and its competitors.
Is Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Toyota Tsusho's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円151.65. Overall, Toyota Tsusho has a GF Score™ of 75/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to HON and MMM?
Toyota Tsusho's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of 円151.65 can be compared against companies in the Conglomerates industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Conglomerates company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Toyota Tsusho and its competitors. Toyota Tsusho's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円151.65. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toyota Tsusho stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toyota Tsusho (NGO:8015) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円3,762.99, compared to a current price of 円6,630.00 — trading 76.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円151.65. Toyota Tsusho's overall GF Score™ is 75/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toyota Tsusho (NGO:8015), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is 円151.65 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toyota Tsusho (NGO:8015) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toyota Tsusho stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円6,630.00 is trading 76.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円3,762.99. GuruFocus considers Toyota Tsusho to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NGO:8015:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: 円151.65
  • GF Value™: 円3,762.99 vs. price of 円6,630.00 (76.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100

No single metric tells the full story. See the NGO:8015 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toyota Tsusho Business Description

Address 9-8 Meieki 4-chome, Century Toyota Building, Nakamura-ku, Nagoya, JPN, 450-8575
Toyota Tsusho Corp is a Japan-based company involved in trading diverse products, along with the manufacturing, processing, sales, investment, and related service activities. The company operates through segments including Africa, Circular Economy, Digital Solutions, Green Infrastructure, Lifestyle, Metal Plus, Mobility, Supply Chain, and Others. It generates the majority of its revenue from the Metal Plus segment, which processes, manufactures, treats, and sells steel products and nonferrous metal ingots, among others.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NGO:8015

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円6,630.00
Price
円3,762.99
GF Value