E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.
NIO's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 was $-0.192. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-1.15 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2025.
Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.
As of today (2026-07-02), NIO's current stock price is $ 5.20. NIO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 was $-1.15. NIO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .
NIO (OTCPK:NIOIF) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation
If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.
For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.
The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.
Be Aware
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.
NIO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms
NIO Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for NIO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
NIOIF vs LI, XPEV, VFS: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison
For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, NIO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
NIO Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry
For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, NIO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where NIO's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.
E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.
What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.
If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.
We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.
Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.
What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-1.15 mean?
NIO (NIOIF) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-1.15 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on NIO and its competitors.
Is NIO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
NIO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-1.15. Overall, NIO has a GF Score™ of 71/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NIO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to LI and XPEV?
NIO's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-1.15 can be compared against companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Vehicles & Parts company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Vehicles & Parts industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on NIO and its competitors. NIO's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-1.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NIO stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NIO (NIOIF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.82, compared to a current price of $5.20 — trading 33.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-1.15. NIO's overall GF Score™ is 71/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NIO (NIOIF), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-1.15 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is NIO (NIOIF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NIO stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $5.20 is trading 33.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $7.82.
GuruFocus considers NIO to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for NIOIF:
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-1.15
GF Value™: $7.82 vs. price of $5.20 (33.5% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the NIOIF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Nio is a leading electric vehicle maker, targeting the premium segment. Founded in November 2014, Nio designs, develops, jointly manufactures, and sells premium smart electric vehicles. The company differentiates itself through continuous technological breakthroughs and innovations, such as battery swapping and autonomous driving. Nio launched its first model, its ES8 seven-seater electric SUV, in December 2017, and began deliveries in June 2018. Its current model portfolio includes midsize to large sedans and SUVs. It sold around 326,000 EVs in 2025, accounting for about 2% of China's passenger new energy vehicle market.
71GF Score
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