San Miguel (PHS:SMC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ₱-5.49 (As of Mar. 2026)


PHS:SMC San Miguel Corp PHS:SMC
76 GF Score
Price ₱68.00
GF Value ₱82.76
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is San Miguel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

San Miguel PHS:SMC +0.74% 76 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ₱-5.49 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates PHS:SMC with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of ₱82.76 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

San Miguel's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was ₱11.896. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ₱-5.49 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -0.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of San Miguel was 31.20% per year. The lowest was -76.30% per year. And the median was -18.60% per year.

As of today (2026-07-01), San Miguel's current stock price is ₱68.00. San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was ₱-5.49. San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of San Miguel was 195.57. The lowest was 20.65. And the median was 44.21.


San Miguel  (PHS:SMC) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of San Miguel was 195.57. The lowest was 20.65. And the median was 44.21.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


San Miguel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


San Miguel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

San Miguel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

San Miguel Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.46 -5.52 -6.93 -8.00 -5.63

San Miguel Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.72 -6.47 -5.94 -5.63 -5.49

PHS:SMC vs HON, MMM: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


San Miguel Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


PHS:SMC
76GF Score
San Miguel Corp PHS:SMC
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

San Miguel Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, San Miguel's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=11.896/330.2130*330.2130
=11.896

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

San Miguel Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -1.870 241.018 -2.562
201609 2.292 241.428 3.135
201612 8.923 241.432 12.204
201703 5.367 243.801 7.269
201706 7.363 244.955 9.926
201709 5.425 246.819 7.258
201712 -2.549 246.524 -3.414
201803 3.587 249.554 4.746
201806 -1.624 251.989 -2.128
201809 1.506 252.439 1.970
201812 1.751 251.233 2.301
201903 9.222 254.202 11.980
201906 -0.848 256.143 -1.093
201909 -1.961 256.759 -2.522
201912 -1.907 256.974 -2.451
202003 -8.624 258.115 -11.033
202006 0.020 257.797 0.026
202009 -6.092 260.280 -7.729
202012 4.500 260.474 5.705
202103 10.935 264.877 13.632
202106 -9.126 271.696 -11.092
202109 -3.956 274.310 -4.762
202112 -18.949 278.802 -22.443
202203 -0.454 287.504 -0.521
202206 -10.270 296.311 -11.445
202209 -23.108 296.808 -25.709
202212 -31.845 296.797 -35.430
202303 7.371 301.836 8.064
202306 -2.709 305.109 -2.932
202309 -14.286 307.789 -15.327
202312 -12.902 306.746 -13.889
202403 4.626 312.332 4.891
202406 -4.260 314.175 -4.477
202409 2.121 315.301 2.221
202412 -10.309 315.605 -10.786
202503 1.691 319.799 1.746
202506 7.555 322.561 7.734
202509 8.627 324.800 8.771
202512 11.156 324.054 11.368
202603 11.896 330.213 11.896

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ₱-5.49 mean?
San Miguel (PHS:SMC) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ₱-5.49 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on San Miguel and its competitors.
Is San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
San Miguel's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ₱-5.49. Overall, San Miguel has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to HON and MMM?
San Miguel's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of ₱-5.49 can be compared against companies in the Conglomerates industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Conglomerates company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Conglomerates industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on San Miguel and its competitors. San Miguel's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ₱-5.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is San Miguel stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, San Miguel (PHS:SMC) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ₱82.76, compared to a current price of ₱68.00 — trading 17.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ₱-5.49. San Miguel's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For San Miguel (PHS:SMC), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is ₱-5.49 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is San Miguel (PHS:SMC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, San Miguel stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ₱68.00 is trading 17.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of ₱82.76. GuruFocus considers San Miguel to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for PHS:SMC:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: ₱-5.49
  • GF Value™: ₱82.76 vs. price of ₱68.00 (17.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the PHS:SMC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


San Miguel Business Description

Address No. 40 San Miguel Avenue, P.O. Box 271, Manila Central Post Office, Metro Manila, Mandaluyong, PHL, 1550
San Miguel Corp, through its subsidiaries, operates in various reportable business segments, including food and beverage, packaging, energy, fuel and oil, infrastructure, cement, and real estate property management and development. Maximum revenue is generated from the fuel and oil segment, which is engaged in refining crude oil and marketing and distribution of refined petroleum products.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for PHS:SMC

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

₱68.00
Price
₱82.76
GF Value