STLD (Steel Dynamics) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $6.03 (As of Mar. 2026)

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STLD Steel Dynamics Inc STLD
88 GF Score
Price $233.52
GF Value $158.87
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Steel Dynamics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Steel Dynamics STLD +1.43% 88 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.03 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates STLD with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of $158.87 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Steel Dynamics's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.071. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.03 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Steel Dynamics's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Steel Dynamics was 104.70% per year. The lowest was 6.70% per year. And the median was 15.70% per year.

As of today (2026-07-21), Steel Dynamics's current stock price is $233.52. Steel Dynamics's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $6.03. Steel Dynamics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 38.73.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Steel Dynamics was 46.89. The lowest was 7.65. And the median was 20.95.


Steel Dynamics  (NAS:STLD) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Steel Dynamics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=233.52/6.03
=38.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Steel Dynamics was 46.89. The lowest was 7.65. And the median was 20.95.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Steel Dynamics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Steel Dynamics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Steel Dynamics's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Steel Dynamics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Steel Dynamics Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.98 4.99 6.20 6.08 6.06

Steel Dynamics Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.95 5.85 6.19 6.06 6.03

STLD vs RS, NUE, TX: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Steel subindustry, Steel Dynamics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Steel Dynamics Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Steel Dynamics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Steel Dynamics's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


STLD
88GF Score
Steel Dynamics Inc STLD
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Steel Dynamics Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Steel Dynamics's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.071/330.2130*330.2130
=0.071

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Steel Dynamics Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.498 241.018 0.682
201609 0.556 241.428 0.760
201612 0.539 241.432 0.737
201703 0.813 243.801 1.101
201706 0.155 244.955 0.209
201709 0.760 246.819 1.017
201712 0.649 246.524 0.869
201803 0.536 249.554 0.709
201806 1.143 251.989 1.498
201809 1.484 252.439 1.941
201812 1.858 251.233 2.442
201903 0.565 254.202 0.734
201906 1.242 256.143 1.601
201909 1.324 256.759 1.703
201912 1.159 256.974 1.489
202003 -0.029 258.115 -0.037
202006 0.834 257.797 1.068
202009 -0.830 260.280 -1.053
202012 -0.968 260.474 -1.227
202103 -0.225 264.877 -0.280
202106 1.468 271.696 1.784
202109 2.038 274.310 2.453
202112 2.613 278.802 3.095
202203 3.414 287.504 3.921
202206 4.462 296.311 4.973
202209 6.910 296.808 7.688
202212 4.544 296.797 5.056
202303 2.942 301.836 3.219
202306 2.662 305.109 2.881
202309 3.343 307.789 3.587
202312 2.155 306.746 2.320
202403 -0.120 312.332 -0.127
202406 -0.232 314.175 -0.244
202409 0.895 315.301 0.937
202412 -0.696 315.605 -0.728
202503 -1.014 319.799 -1.047
202506 0.089 322.561 0.091
202509 3.773 324.800 3.836
202512 0.576 324.054 0.587
202603 0.071 330.213 0.071

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $6.03 mean?
Steel Dynamics (STLD) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $6.03 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Steel Dynamics and its competitors.
Is Steel Dynamics' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Steel Dynamics' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.03. Overall, Steel Dynamics has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Steel Dynamics' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to RS and NUE?
Steel Dynamics' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $6.03 can be compared against companies in the Steel industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Steel company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Steel industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Steel Dynamics and its competitors. Steel Dynamics's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Steel Dynamics stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Steel Dynamics (STLD) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $158.87, compared to a current price of $233.52 — trading 47% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.03. Steel Dynamics' overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Steel Dynamics (STLD), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $6.03 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Steel Dynamics (STLD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Steel Dynamics stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $233.52 is trading 47% above its estimated GF Value™ of $158.87. GuruFocus considers Steel Dynamics to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STLD:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $6.03
  • GF Value™: $158.87 vs. price of $233.52 (47% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STLD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Steel Dynamics Business Description

Address 7575 West Jefferson Boulevard, Fort Wayne, IN, USA, 46804
Steel Dynamics Inc operates as a domestic steel producer and metal recycler in the United States. The company's product portfolio comprises hot rolled sheet, hot rolled plate, painted sheet products, cold rolled sheet, and others. Its reportable segments are steel operations, metals recycling operations, steel fabrication operations, and aluminum operations. Maximum revenue is generated from its steel operations segment, which consists of manufacturing various steel products and numerous coating operations. Its primary sources of revenue are currently from the manufacture and sale of steel products, the processing and sale of recycled ferrous and nonferrous metals, and the fabrication and sale of steel joists and deck products.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STLD

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$233.52
Price
$158.87
GF Value