Methanex (STU:MX5) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €5.88 (As of Mar. 2026)

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STU:MX5 Methanex Corp STU:MX5
65 GF Score
Price €49.05
GF Value €36.66
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Methanex Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Methanex STU:MX5 -0.39% 65 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €5.88 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates STU:MX5 with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of €36.66 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Methanex's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €1.226. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €5.88 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Methanex's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 20.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 19.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 18.80% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 28.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Methanex was 81.00% per year. The lowest was -24.80% per year. And the median was 15.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-27), Methanex's current stock price is €49.05. Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €5.88. Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 8.34.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Methanex was 115.29. The lowest was 4.16. And the median was 11.49.


Methanex  (STU:MX5) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=49.05/5.88
=8.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Methanex was 115.29. The lowest was 4.16. And the median was 11.49.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Methanex Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Methanex Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Methanex Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Methanex Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.32 3.67 4.18 4.59 5.80

Methanex Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.09 5.35 5.39 5.80 5.88

STU:MX5 vs DOW: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Chemicals subindustry, Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Methanex Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


STU:MX5
65GF Score
Methanex Corp STU:MX5
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Methanex Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Methanex's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=1.226/132.2623*132.2623
=1.226

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Methanex Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 -0.119 102.002 -0.154
201609 0.452 101.765 0.587
201612 0.409 101.449 0.533
201703 2.027 102.634 2.612
201706 2.160 103.029 2.773
201709 0.840 103.345 1.075
201712 1.857 103.345 2.377
201803 1.820 105.004 2.292
201806 2.208 105.557 2.767
201809 2.051 105.636 2.568
201812 1.631 105.399 2.047
201903 1.427 106.979 1.764
201906 0.579 107.690 0.711
201909 0.017 107.611 0.021
201912 0.180 107.769 0.221
202003 0.271 107.927 0.332
202006 1.182 108.401 1.442
202009 -0.564 108.164 -0.690
202012 0.493 108.559 0.601
202103 1.134 110.298 1.360
202106 2.110 111.720 2.498
202109 2.608 112.905 3.055
202112 2.543 113.774 2.956
202203 2.334 117.646 2.624
202206 -0.402 120.806 -0.440
202209 2.590 120.648 2.839
202212 0.952 120.964 1.041
202303 0.484 122.702 0.522
202306 1.154 124.203 1.229
202309 -0.474 125.230 -0.501
202312 1.707 125.072 1.805
202403 0.590 126.258 0.618
202406 1.758 127.522 1.823
202409 2.182 127.285 2.267
202412 3.340 127.364 3.468
202503 3.670 129.181 3.758
202506 3.145 129.892 3.202
202509 1.954 130.287 1.984
202512 2.481 130.366 2.517
202603 1.226 132.262 1.226

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €5.88 mean?
Methanex (STU:MX5) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €5.88 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Methanex and its competitors.
Is Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Methanex's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €5.88. Overall, Methanex has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DOW?
Methanex's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €5.88 can be compared against companies in the Chemicals industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Chemicals company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Chemicals industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Methanex and its competitors. Methanex's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €5.88. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Methanex stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Methanex (STU:MX5) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €36.66, compared to a current price of €49.05 — trading 33.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €5.88. Methanex's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Methanex (STU:MX5), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €5.88 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Methanex (STU:MX5) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Methanex stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €49.05 is trading 33.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of €36.66. GuruFocus considers Methanex to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:MX5:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €5.88
  • GF Value™: €36.66 vs. price of €49.05 (33.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:MX5 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Methanex Business Description

Other Exchanges MEOH:USAMX:Canada
Address 200 Burrard Street, 1800 Waterfront Centre, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 3M1
Methanex Corp operates as a producer and supplier of methanol to various international markets in North America, Asia Pacific, Europe and South America. The company's operations consist prominently of the production and sale of methanol, along with the production and sale of ammonia. Geographically, it operates in China, Europe, the United States, South America, South Korea, Other Asia, and Canada. The majority of revenue is derived from Europe.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:MX5

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€49.05
Price
€36.66
GF Value