TGT (Target) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $9.03 (As of Apr. 2026)


TGT Target Corp TGT
77 GF Score
Price $135.14
GF Value $129.46
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Target TGT +2.17% 77 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $9.03 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus rates TGT with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of $129.46 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Target's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was $-0.700. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $9.03 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Target's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 3.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Target was 123.60% per year. The lowest was -100.00% per year. And the median was 16.80% per year.

As of today (2026-07-11), Target's current stock price is $135.14. Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was $9.03. Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 14.97.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Target was 35.28. The lowest was 9.69. And the median was 16.76.


Target  (NYSE:TGT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=135.14/9.03
=14.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Target was 35.28. The lowest was 9.69. And the median was 16.76.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Target Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.61 8.23 8.36 9.02 8.88

Target Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.73 8.83 8.79 8.88 9.03

TGT vs DG, DLTR, BJ: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Target Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Target's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TGT
77GF Score
Target Corp TGT
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Target Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Target's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=-0.7/333.0200*333.0200
=-0.700

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Target Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201607 1.435 240.628 1.986
201610 1.554 241.729 2.141
201701 3.897 242.839 5.344
201704 1.475 244.524 2.009
201707 1.638 244.786 2.228
201710 1.320 246.663 1.782
201801 3.584 247.867 4.815
201804 -0.579 250.546 -0.770
201807 2.202 252.006 2.910
201810 -0.220 252.885 -0.290
201901 3.254 251.712 4.305
201904 -0.639 255.548 -0.833
201907 3.391 256.571 4.401
201910 0.657 257.346 0.850
202001 4.559 257.971 5.885
202004 1.054 256.389 1.369
202007 6.283 259.101 8.075
202010 2.638 260.388 3.374
202101 5.615 261.582 7.148
202104 1.190 267.054 1.484
202107 2.985 273.003 3.641
202110 2.105 276.589 2.534
202201 4.095 281.148 4.851
202204 -5.015 289.109 -5.777
202207 -0.483 296.276 -0.543
202210 -2.597 298.012 -2.902
202301 4.884 299.170 5.437
202304 -0.734 303.363 -0.806
202307 1.974 305.691 2.150
202310 1.744 307.671 1.888
202401 5.258 308.417 5.677
202404 0.920 313.548 0.977
202407 3.450 314.540 3.653
202410 0.182 315.664 0.192
202501 5.160 317.671 5.409
202504 -1.128 320.795 -1.171
202507 2.215 323.048 2.283
202510 0.327 0.000
202601 4.814 325.252 4.929
202604 -0.700 333.020 -0.700

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $9.03 mean?
Target (TGT) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $9.03 as of Apr. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Target and its competitors.
Is Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Target's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $9.03. Overall, Target has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to DG and DLTR?
Target's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $9.03 can be compared against companies in the Retail - Defensive industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Retail - Defensive company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Retail - Defensive industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Target and its competitors. Target's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $9.03. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Target stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Target (TGT) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $129.46, compared to a current price of $135.14 — trading 4.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $9.03. Target's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Target (TGT), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $9.03 as of Apr. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Target (TGT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Target stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $135.14 is trading 4.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of $129.46. GuruFocus considers Target to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TGT:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $9.03
  • GF Value™: $129.46 vs. price of $135.14 (4.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TGT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Target Business Description

Address 1000 Nicollet Mall, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55403
Target's start dates back to 1962, but now it is one of the largest discount retailers in the United States (where it derives all of its sales), operating just under 2,000 stores and generating over $104 billion in fiscal 2025 sales. The company offers a broad assortment of merchandise across categories including apparel and accessories (16% of fiscal 2025 revenue), beauty and household essentials (30%), food and beverage (24%), hardlines (15%), as well as home furnishings (15%). Target's model is anchored in its physical store base, which fulfills more than 97% of sales. Around 30% of sales are derived from its own private-label brands.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TGT

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$135.14
Price
$129.46
GF Value