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Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : 円226.27 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Japan Tobacco's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was 円19.242. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is 円226.27 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Japan Tobacco's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Japan Tobacco was 6.60% per year. The lowest was 3.60% per year. And the median was 5.00% per year.

As of today (2024-05-01), Japan Tobacco's current stock price is 円4245.00. Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was 円226.27. Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 18.76.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Japan Tobacco was 28.89. The lowest was 9.54. And the median was 13.96.


Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Japan Tobacco Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 186.15 194.12 200.76 213.25 226.27

Japan Tobacco Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 213.25 210.59 221.26 238.40 226.27

Competitive Comparison of Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Tobacco subindustry, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Japan Tobacco's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=19.242/106.8000*106.8000
=19.242

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 106.8000.

Japan Tobacco Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 19.107 95.700 21.323
201406 -32.543 98.000 -35.465
201409 111.087 98.500 120.448
201412 157.514 97.900 171.833
201503 -95.753 97.900 -104.458
201506 84.556 98.400 91.774
201509 72.317 98.500 78.411
201512 129.247 98.100 140.709
201603 -110.113 97.900 -120.123
201606 22.453 98.100 24.444
201609 89.364 98.000 97.389
201612 146.482 98.400 158.987
201703 -56.007 98.100 -60.974
201706 45.762 98.500 49.618
201709 143.226 98.800 154.823
201712 22.747 99.400 24.440
201803 26.925 99.200 28.988
201806 62.193 99.200 66.958
201809 89.968 99.900 96.182
201812 -10.249 99.700 -10.979
201903 50.152 99.700 53.724
201906 40.594 99.800 43.441
201909 2.525 100.100 2.694
201912 135.746 100.500 144.255
202003 -17.599 100.300 -18.740
202006 61.167 99.900 65.392
202009 138.243 99.900 147.791
202012 49.858 99.300 53.624
202103 -5.500 99.900 -5.880
202106 77.601 99.500 83.294
202109 128.674 100.100 137.287
202112 78.621 100.100 83.883
202203 10.906 101.100 11.521
202206 28.275 101.800 29.664
202209 117.908 103.100 122.139
202212 59.415 104.100 60.956
202303 15.002 104.400 15.347
202306 72.821 105.200 73.929
202309 144.008 106.200 144.822
202312 19.242 106.800 19.242

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Japan Tobacco  (TSE:2914) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=4245.00/226.27
=18.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Japan Tobacco was 28.89. The lowest was 9.54. And the median was 13.96.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Japan Tobacco Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Japan Tobacco's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Japan Tobacco (TSE:2914) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-1, Toranomon 2-chome, Minato-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 105-8422
Japan Tobacco is the third-largest tobacco company globally. It owns a rich brand portfolio including Winston (non-U.S.), Camel (non-U.S.), and Mevius, and holds leading shares in many core markets including Japan, Russia, and the U.K. It has added Logic as a vaping brand and Ploom heated tobacco lines into its reduced-risk-product portfolio. The tobacco business contributes 90% of group sales and nearly all profits, with more than half generated by the overseas tobacco operations. JTI was created through the acquisition of R.J. Reynolds' non-U.S. operations in 1999 and further expanded through multiple acquisitions, of which the purchase of Gallaher in 2007 was the most notable, doubling JTI's sales. Pharmaceutical and processed food operations are the other businesses.

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