Nutrien (TSX:NTR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$5.05 (As of Mar. 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSX:NTR Nutrien Ltd TSX:NTR
73 GF Score
Price C$98.00
GF Value C$77.21
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nutrien Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Nutrien TSX:NTR +2.83% 73 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.05 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:NTR with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of C$77.21 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Nutrien's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was C$-3.350. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$5.05 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Nutrien's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Nutrien was 47.20% per year. The lowest was -5.50% per year. And the median was 10.90% per year.

As of today (2026-07-29), Nutrien's current stock price is C$98.00. Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was C$5.05. Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 19.41.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Nutrien was 36.71. The lowest was 11.28. And the median was 18.85.


Nutrien  (TSX:NTR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=98.00/5.05
=19.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Nutrien was 36.71. The lowest was 11.28. And the median was 18.85.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Nutrien Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Nutrien Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nutrien Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Nutrien Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.78 5.04 5.27 5.16 5.27

Nutrien Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.68 5.04 4.75 5.27 5.05

TSX:NTR vs CTVA, CF, MOS: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nutrien Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSX:NTR
73GF Score
Nutrien Ltd TSX:NTR
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nutrien Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Nutrien's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-3.35/132.2623*132.2623
=-3.350

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Nutrien Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.818 102.002 1.061
201609 0.406 101.765 0.528
201612 0.429 101.449 0.559
201703 0.358 102.634 0.461
201706 0.791 103.029 1.015
201709 0.449 103.345 0.575
201712 0.611 103.345 0.782
201803 -1.162 105.004 -1.464
201806 0.578 105.557 0.724
201809 -1.121 105.636 -1.404
201812 3.016 105.399 3.785
201903 -1.869 106.979 -2.311
201906 1.748 107.690 2.147
201909 0.065 107.611 0.080
201912 4.187 107.769 5.139
202003 -2.251 107.927 -2.759
202006 3.386 108.401 4.131
202009 -2.255 108.164 -2.757
202012 5.047 108.559 6.149
202103 -1.123 110.298 -1.347
202106 3.243 111.720 3.839
202109 -4.555 112.905 -5.336
202112 6.717 113.774 7.809
202203 -0.943 117.646 -1.060
202206 4.830 120.806 5.288
202209 0.602 120.648 0.660
202212 9.775 120.964 10.688
202303 -3.605 122.702 -3.886
202306 3.890 124.203 4.142
202309 -3.015 125.230 -3.184
202312 9.326 125.072 9.862
202403 -2.298 126.258 -2.407
202406 3.547 127.522 3.679
202409 -3.876 127.285 -4.028
202412 6.810 127.364 7.072
202503 -4.053 129.181 -4.150
202506 5.926 129.892 6.034
202509 -2.723 130.287 -2.764
202512 6.355 130.366 6.447
202603 -3.350 132.262 -3.350

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$5.05 mean?
Nutrien (TSX:NTR) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$5.05 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Nutrien and its competitors.
Is Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Nutrien's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.05. Overall, Nutrien has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CTVA and CF?
Nutrien's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$5.05 can be compared against companies in the Agriculture industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Agriculture company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Agriculture industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Nutrien and its competitors. Nutrien's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.05. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nutrien stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nutrien (TSX:NTR) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$77.21, compared to a current price of C$98.00 — trading 26.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.05. Nutrien's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nutrien (TSX:NTR), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.05 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nutrien (TSX:NTR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nutrien stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$98.00 is trading 26.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$77.21. GuruFocus considers Nutrien to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:NTR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$5.05
  • GF Value™: C$77.21 vs. price of C$98.00 (26.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:NTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nutrien Business Description

Address 211 19th Street East, Suite 1700, Saskatoon, SK, CAN, S7K 5R6
Created in 2018 as a result of the merger between PotashCorp and Agrium, Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer by capacity. Nutrien produces the three main crop nutrients—nitrogen, potash, and phosphate—although its main focus is potash, where it is the global leader in installed capacity with a roughly 20% market share. The company is also the largest agricultural retailer in North America and Australia, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, seeds, and services directly to farm customers through its brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:NTR

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$98.00
Price
C$77.21
GF Value