TransAlta (TSX:TA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$1.47 (As of Mar. 2026)

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TSX:TA TransAlta Corp TSX:TA
55 GF Score
Price C$19.68
GF Value C$9.77
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is TransAlta Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

TransAlta TSX:TA -2.33% 55 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$1.47 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:TA with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of C$9.77 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

TransAlta's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was C$0.316. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$1.47 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, TransAlta's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of TransAlta was 59.40% per year. The lowest was -25.30% per year. And the median was 11.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-14), TransAlta's current stock price is C$19.68. TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was C$1.47. TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 13.39.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of TransAlta was 75.36. The lowest was 6.77. And the median was 13.31.


TransAlta  (TSX:TA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=19.68/1.47
=13.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of TransAlta was 75.36. The lowest was 6.77. And the median was 13.31.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


TransAlta Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


TransAlta Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

TransAlta Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

TransAlta Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.93 1.09 1.26 1.31 1.51

TransAlta Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.31 1.42 1.46 1.51 1.47

TSX:TA vs CEG, VST, NRG: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TransAlta Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSX:TA
55GF Score
TransAlta Corp TSX:TA
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

TransAlta Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, TransAlta's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=0.316/132.2623*132.2623
=0.316

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

TransAlta Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.132 102.002 0.171
201609 0.444 101.765 0.577
201612 0.045 101.449 0.059
201703 0.753 102.634 0.970
201706 -0.139 103.029 -0.178
201709 0.198 103.345 0.253
201712 0.010 103.345 0.013
201803 1.378 105.004 1.736
201806 0.135 105.557 0.169
201809 0.206 105.636 0.258
201812 0.094 105.399 0.118
201903 0.158 106.979 0.195
201906 0.511 107.690 0.628
201909 0.809 107.611 0.994
201912 0.000 107.769 0.000
202003 0.505 107.927 0.619
202006 0.156 108.401 0.190
202009 0.456 108.164 0.558
202012 -0.390 108.559 -0.475
202103 0.585 110.298 0.701
202106 -0.152 111.720 -0.180
202109 1.779 112.905 2.084
202112 -0.321 113.774 -0.373
202203 1.321 117.646 1.485
202206 -0.959 120.806 -1.050
202209 -0.295 120.648 -0.323
202212 -0.332 120.964 -0.363
202303 0.653 122.702 0.704
202306 -0.697 124.203 -0.742
202309 1.951 125.230 2.061
202312 0.233 125.072 0.246
202403 0.568 126.258 0.595
202406 0.155 127.522 0.161
202409 0.514 127.285 0.534
202412 0.331 127.364 0.344
202503 -0.091 129.181 -0.093
202506 0.266 129.892 0.271
202509 0.660 130.287 0.670
202512 0.461 130.366 0.468
202603 0.316 132.262 0.316

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$1.47 mean?
TransAlta (TSX:TA) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$1.47 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on TransAlta and its competitors.
Is TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
TransAlta's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$1.47. Overall, TransAlta has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CEG and VST?
TransAlta's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$1.47 can be compared against companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on TransAlta and its competitors. TransAlta's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$1.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is TransAlta stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TransAlta (TSX:TA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$9.77, compared to a current price of C$19.68 — trading 101.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$1.47. TransAlta's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For TransAlta (TSX:TA), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$1.47 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is TransAlta (TSX:TA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, TransAlta stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of C$19.68 is trading 101.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of C$9.77. GuruFocus considers TransAlta to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:TA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$1.47
  • GF Value™: C$9.77 vs. price of C$19.68 (101.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:TA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


TransAlta Business Description

Address 1100 1st Street SE, TransAlta Place, Suite 1400, Calgary, AB, CAN, T2G 1B1
TransAlta Corp is an independent power producer based in Alberta, Canada. The company operates a diverse electrical power generation assets in Canada, the United States, and Western Australia. The company has reportable segments namely, Hydro, Wind & Solar, Gas, Energy Transition segment and Corporate Segment. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the gas segment.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:TA

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$19.68
Price
C$9.77
GF Value