Waste Connections (TSX:WCN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$5.75 (As of Mar. 2026)

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TSX:WCN Waste Connections Inc TSX:WCN
89 GF Score
Price C$240.97
GF Value C$276.17
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Waste Connections TSX:WCN -1.56% 89 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.75 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates TSX:WCN with a GF Score™ of 89/100 and a GF Value™ of C$276.17 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Waste Connections's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was C$1.335. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$5.75 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Waste Connections's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.20% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Waste Connections was 23.80% per year. The lowest was 10.10% per year. And the median was 12.35% per year.

As of today (2026-07-18), Waste Connections's current stock price is C$240.97. Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was C$5.75. Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 41.91.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Waste Connections was 53.72. The lowest was 34.22. And the median was 44.37.


Waste Connections  (TSX:WCN) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=240.97/5.75
=41.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Waste Connections was 53.72. The lowest was 34.22. And the median was 44.37.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Waste Connections Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.31 4.10 4.52 5.35 5.56

Waste Connections Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.49 5.33 5.58 5.56 5.75

TSX:WCN vs RSG, CLH, GFL: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Waste Management subindustry, Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Waste Management Industry

For the Waste Management industry and Industrials sector, Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Waste Connections's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


TSX:WCN
89GF Score
Waste Connections Inc TSX:WCN
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Waste Connections Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Waste Connections's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=1.335/132.2623*132.2623
=1.335

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 132.2623.

Waste Connections Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 0.241 102.002 0.312
201609 0.926 101.765 1.204
201612 0.589 101.449 0.768
201703 0.996 102.634 1.284
201706 0.770 103.029 0.988
201709 1.030 103.345 1.318
201712 0.660 103.345 0.845
201803 1.056 105.004 1.330
201806 1.227 105.557 1.537
201809 0.991 105.636 1.241
201812 1.020 105.399 1.280
201903 1.262 106.979 1.560
201906 1.255 107.690 1.541
201909 1.106 107.611 1.359
201912 0.767 107.769 0.941
202003 1.224 107.927 1.500
202006 1.217 108.401 1.485
202009 1.155 108.164 1.412
202012 0.223 108.559 0.272
202103 1.450 110.298 1.739
202106 1.278 111.720 1.513
202109 1.035 112.905 1.212
202112 0.801 113.774 0.931
202203 1.408 117.646 1.583
202206 1.558 120.806 1.706
202209 1.446 120.648 1.585
202212 1.201 120.964 1.313
202303 1.414 122.702 1.524
202306 1.832 124.203 1.951
202309 1.744 125.230 1.842
202312 1.234 125.072 1.305
202403 1.678 126.258 1.758
202406 2.089 127.522 2.167
202409 1.498 127.285 1.557
202412 0.948 127.364 0.984
202503 1.825 129.181 1.869
202506 1.862 129.892 1.896
202509 2.042 130.287 2.073
202512 0.847 130.366 0.859
202603 1.335 132.262 1.335

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$5.75 mean?
Waste Connections (TSX:WCN) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$5.75 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Waste Connections and its competitors.
Is Waste Connections' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Waste Connections' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.75. Overall, Waste Connections has a GF Score™ of 89/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Waste Connections' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to RSG and CLH?
Waste Connections' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of C$5.75 can be compared against companies in the Waste Management industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Waste Management company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Waste Management industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Waste Connections and its competitors. Waste Connections's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Waste Connections stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Waste Connections (TSX:WCN) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is C$276.17, compared to a current price of C$240.97 — trading 12.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.75. Waste Connections' overall GF Score™ is 89/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Waste Connections (TSX:WCN), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is C$5.75 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Waste Connections (TSX:WCN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Waste Connections stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of C$240.97 is trading 12.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of C$276.17. GuruFocus considers Waste Connections to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSX:WCN:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: C$5.75
  • GF Value™: C$276.17 vs. price of C$240.97 (12.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 89/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSX:WCN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Waste Connections Business Description

Address 6220 Highway 7, Suite 600, Woodbridge, Vaughan, ON, CAN, L4H 4G3
Waste Connections is a North American waste management company focused on integrated waste collection services. The firm primarily focuses on residential, commercial, municipal, and industrial waste collection, with a secondary market focus on rural areas. With 113 landfills and 222 transfer stations as of 2024, it is the third-largest waste management company by revenue. Revenue is split among six operating segments: Western, Southern, Eastern, Central, Canada, and Midsouth.
89GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSX:WCN

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

C$240.97
Price
C$276.17
GF Value