Alcoa (WBO:ALCA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €1.16 (As of Jun. 2026)

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WBO:ALCA Alcoa Corp WBO:ALCA
68 GF Score
Price €41.04
GF Value €28.81
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Alcoa WBO:ALCA +5.53% 68 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.16 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus rates WBO:ALCA with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of €28.81 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was €1.377. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €1.16 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Alcoa's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 67.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

As of today (2026-07-23), Alcoa's current stock price is €41.04. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was €1.16. Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 35.38.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Alcoa was 90.42. The lowest was 31.09. And the median was 49.48.


Alcoa  (WBO:ALCA) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=41.04/1.16
=35.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Alcoa was 90.42. The lowest was 31.09. And the median was 49.48.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.67

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.66 0.50 0.67 0.87 1.16

WBO:ALCA vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


WBO:ALCA
68GF Score
Alcoa Corp WBO:ALCA
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=1.377/333.9520*333.9520
=1.377

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201609 -0.952 241.428 -1.317
201612 0.482 241.432 0.667
201703 0.015 243.801 0.021
201706 1.067 244.955 1.455
201709 1.292 246.819 1.748
201712 1.378 246.524 1.867
201803 -0.082 249.554 -0.110
201806 -2.378 251.989 -3.151
201809 0.949 252.439 1.255
201812 1.800 251.233 2.393
201903 0.474 254.202 0.623
201906 -0.033 256.143 -0.043
201909 0.425 256.759 0.553
201912 0.623 256.974 0.810
202003 -0.876 258.115 -1.133
202006 1.007 257.797 1.304
202009 0.383 260.280 0.491
202012 -0.323 260.474 -0.414
202103 -0.307 264.877 -0.387
202106 -0.721 271.696 -0.886
202109 1.566 274.310 1.906
202112 1.919 278.802 2.299
202203 -0.193 287.504 -0.224
202206 2.182 296.311 2.459
202209 0.034 296.808 0.038
202212 -0.281 296.797 -0.316
202303 -1.291 301.836 -1.428
202306 -0.664 305.109 -0.727
202309 -0.400 307.789 -0.434
202312 0.052 306.746 0.057
202403 -1.665 312.332 -1.780
202406 0.631 314.175 0.671
202409 -0.012 315.301 -0.013
202412 0.887 315.605 0.939
202503 -0.064 319.799 -0.067
202506 1.189 322.561 1.231
202509 -0.216 324.800 -0.222
202512 0.954 324.054 0.983
202603 -0.970 330.213 -0.981
202606 1.377 333.952 1.377

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.16 mean?
Alcoa (WBO:ALCA) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.16 as of Jun. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors.
Is Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.16. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of €1.16 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Metals & Mining company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.16. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa (WBO:ALCA) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €28.81, compared to a current price of €41.04 — trading 42.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.16. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (WBO:ALCA), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is €1.16 as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (WBO:ALCA) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €41.04 is trading 42.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of €28.81. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for WBO:ALCA:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: €1.16
  • GF Value™: €28.81 vs. price of €41.04 (42.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the WBO:ALCA stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for WBO:ALCA

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€41.04
Price
€28.81
GF Value