XELB (Xcel Brands) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-0.61 (As of Mar. 2026)

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XELB Xcel Brands Inc XELB
47 GF Score
Price $1.39
GF Value $1.20
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Xcel Brands Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Xcel Brands XELB -5.76% 47 Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.61 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates XELB with a GF Score™ of 47/100 and a GF Value™ of $1.20 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Xcel Brands's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $-0.149. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-0.61 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 27.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Xcel Brands was 79.10% per year. The lowest was -46.10% per year. And the median was 12.50% per year.

As of today (2026-07-16), Xcel Brands's current stock price is $1.39. Xcel Brands's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $-0.61. Xcel Brands's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Xcel Brands was 15.44. The lowest was 0.08. And the median was 0.46.


Xcel Brands  (NAS:XELB) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Xcel Brands was 15.44. The lowest was 0.08. And the median was 0.46.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Xcel Brands Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms


Xcel Brands Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Xcel Brands's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Xcel Brands Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Xcel Brands Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.68 -1.85 -2.53 -0.54 -0.70

Xcel Brands Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.57 -0.61 -0.56 -0.70 -0.61

XELB vs PMNT, AHRO, JL: Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Comparison

For the Apparel Manufacturing subindustry, Xcel Brands's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xcel Brands Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF vs Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Xcel Brands's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xcel Brands's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


XELB
47GF Score
Xcel Brands Inc XELB
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Xcel Brands Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Xcel Brands's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=-0.149/330.2130*330.2130
=-0.149

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Xcel Brands Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201606 1.157 241.018 1.585
201609 2.213 241.428 3.027
201612 0.441 241.432 0.603
201703 -0.624 243.801 -0.845
201706 0.761 244.955 1.026
201709 0.995 246.819 1.331
201712 1.246 246.524 1.669
201803 0.281 249.554 0.372
201806 0.196 251.989 0.257
201809 1.494 252.439 1.954
201812 0.825 251.233 1.084
201903 0.512 254.202 0.665
201906 0.249 256.143 0.321
201909 0.352 256.759 0.453
201912 0.146 256.974 0.188
202003 -0.155 258.115 -0.198
202006 1.066 257.797 1.365
202009 -0.127 260.280 -0.161
202012 0.486 260.474 0.616
202103 -1.032 264.877 -1.287
202106 -2.334 271.696 -2.837
202109 -0.046 274.310 -0.055
202112 -0.548 278.802 -0.649
202203 -0.473 287.504 -0.543
202206 -3.977 296.311 -4.432
202209 -1.257 296.808 -1.398
202212 -1.619 296.797 -1.801
202303 -1.526 301.836 -1.669
202306 0.732 305.109 0.792
202309 -0.681 307.789 -0.731
202312 -1.894 306.746 -2.039
202403 -1.281 312.332 -1.354
202406 -0.116 314.175 -0.122
202409 -0.180 315.301 -0.189
202412 -0.597 315.605 -0.625
202503 -0.610 319.799 -0.630
202506 -0.982 322.561 -1.005
202509 -0.357 324.800 -0.363
202512 -0.363 324.054 -0.370
202603 -0.149 330.213 -0.149

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-0.61 mean?
Xcel Brands (XELB) has a Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-0.61 as of Mar. 2026. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Xcel Brands and its competitors.
Is Xcel Brands' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share too high?
Xcel Brands' current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.61. Overall, Xcel Brands has a GF Score™ of 47/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Xcel Brands' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share compare to PMNT and AHRO?
Xcel Brands' Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of $-0.61 can be compared against companies in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for a Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories company?
A good Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share depends on the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry context. However, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share represents the company's inflation-adjusted FCF per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Xcel Brands and its competitors. Xcel Brands's current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Xcel Brands stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xcel Brands (XELB) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $1.20, compared to a current price of $1.39 — trading 15.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.61. Xcel Brands' overall GF Score™ is 47/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Xcel Brands (XELB), the current Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is $-0.61 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Xcel Brands (XELB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xcel Brands stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $1.39 is trading 15.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $1.20. GuruFocus considers Xcel Brands to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for XELB:

  • Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share: $-0.61
  • GF Value™: $1.20 vs. price of $1.39 (15.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 47/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XELB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Xcel Brands Business Description

Address 550 Seventh Avenue, 11th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10018
Xcel Brands Inc is a media and brand management company. It is engaged in design, merchandising and planning, sourcing and production, licensing, marketing, and brand development. The company offers branded apparel, footwear, accessories, jewelry, home goods, and other consumer products. Its brand portfolio consists of the Isaac Mizrahi, Judith Ripka, H Halston, C Wonder, and the Highline Collective brands. The company licenses its brands to third parties, provides certain designs, production, and marketing services, and generates licensing, design, and service fee revenues through contractual arrangements and other agreements.
47GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XELB

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.39
Price
$1.20
GF Value