Novartis AG (BUE:NVS) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 4.89 (As of Aug. 18, 2026) — 72% Above Median

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BUE:NVS Novartis AG BUE:NVS
64 GF Score
Price ARS59,400.00
GF Value ARS50,971.36
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Novartis AG BUE:NVS -1.21% 64 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89 as of Aug. 18, 2026, which is 72% above its 10-year median of 2.84. GuruFocus rates BUE:NVS with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of ARS50,971.36 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 707 Drug Manufacturers companies, Novartis AG ranks worse than 83.59% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-18), Novartis AG's current share price is ARS59400.00. Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was ARS12,140.76. Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 4.89.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

BUE:NVS' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 2.84   Max: 5.11
Current: 4.92

During the past years, Novartis AG's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 5.11. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 2.84.

BUE:NVS's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
83.59% of 707 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 1.76 vs BUE:NVS: 4.92

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Novartis AG's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was ARS64,746.338. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is ARS12,140.76 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Novartis AG  (BUE:NVS) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Novartis AG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.79 2.81 3.04 3.28 4.29

Novartis AG Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.63 3.84 4.29 4.77 5.05

BUE:NVS vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


BUE:NVS
64GF Score
Novartis AG BUE:NVS
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=59400.00/12140.76
=4.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Novartis AG's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=64746.338/108.5600*108.5600
=64,746.338

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 108.5600.

Novartis AG Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 941.711 99.604 1,026.385
201612 999.363 99.380 1,091.682
201703 880.938 100.040 955.965
201706 984.101 100.285 1,065.302
201709 1,093.563 100.254 1,184.170
201712 1,222.235 100.213 1,324.038
201803 1,229.238 100.836 1,323.402
201806 1,650.242 101.435 1,766.157
201809 2,483.152 101.246 2,662.548
201812 2,565.054 100.906 2,759.620
201903 1,589.598 101.571 1,698.980
201906 2,005.140 102.044 2,133.180
201909 2,594.239 101.396 2,777.540
201912 2,927.920 101.063 3,145.111
202003 2,760.994 101.048 2,966.263
202006 3,218.874 100.743 3,468.634
202009 3,556.731 100.585 3,838.746
202012 4,081.797 100.241 4,420.559
202103 4,054.284 100.800 4,366.408
202106 4,577.554 101.352 4,903.098
202109 4,962.754 101.533 5,306.247
202112 6,114.239 101.776 6,521.823
202203 5,972.814 103.205 6,282.726
202206 6,937.701 104.783 7,187.791
202209 7,857.684 104.835 8,136.899
202212 9,387.280 104.666 9,736.506
202303 9,808.541 106.245 10,022.290
202306 12,032.584 106.576 12,256.638
202309 12,995.137 106.570 13,237.860
202312 16,483.862 106.461 16,808.829
202403 32,764.252 107.355 33,132.043
202406 36,918.177 107.991 37,112.732
202409 41,187.840 107.468 41,606.395
202412 45,047.527 107.128 45,649.643
202503 41,753.414 107.722 42,078.069
202506 51,497.671 108.075 51,728.725
202509 62,748.531 107.710 63,243.715
202512 70,180.140 107.200 71,070.485
202603 56,442.996 108.060 56,704.161
202606 64,746.338 108.560 64,746.338

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 mean?
Novartis AG (BUE:NVS) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 as of Aug. 18, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Novartis AG and its competitors. This is 72% above median its historical median of 2.84. Over the past decade, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 2.23 to 5.11. According to the industry distribution chart, Novartis AG ranks #591 out of 707 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 83.6%.
Is Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Novartis AG's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 is 72% above median its 10-year median of 2.84. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.23 to a high of 5.11. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.76. Novartis AG's value of 4.89 is 177.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Novartis AG ranks #591 out of 707 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Novartis AG has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Novartis AG ranks #591 out of 707 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Novartis AG in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.76. Novartis AG's value of 4.89 is 177.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Novartis AG's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 2.23 to 5.11 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.84 vs. the industry median of 1.76, Novartis AG has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Drug Manufacturers companies is 1.76, based on 707 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Novartis AG's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 is 177.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Novartis AG and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.76 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Novartis AG's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89, which is 72% above median its own 10-year median of 2.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Novartis AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novartis AG (BUE:NVS) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ARS50,971.36, compared to a current price of ARS59,400.00 — trading 16.5% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89, which is 72% above median its 10-year median of 2.84 and 177.8% above the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 1.76. Novartis AG's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Novartis AG (BUE:NVS), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89 as of Aug. 18, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Novartis AG (BUE:NVS) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novartis AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of ARS59,400.00 is trading 16.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of ARS50,971.36. GuruFocus considers Novartis AG to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BUE:NVS:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 4.89 (72% above median its 10-year median of 2.84)
  • GF Value™: ARS50,971.36 vs. price of ARS59,400.00 (16.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 177.8% above the Drug Manufacturers median (#591 of 707)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BUE:NVS stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Novartis AG Business Description

Address Lichtstrasse 35, Basel, CHE, 4056
Novartis develops and manufactures innovative drugs. Key areas of drug development are oncology, immunology, neuroscience, respiratory, and cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic. It also has an established medicines business, which includes off-patent franchises. The company sells its products globally, with the United States constituting close to one-third of total revenue.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BUE:NVS

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

ARS59,400.00
Price
ARS50,971.36
GF Value