Novartis AG (LTS:0QLR) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 4.89 (As of Jul. 20, 2026) — 72% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LTS:0QLR Novartis AG LTS:0QLR
79 GF Score
Price CHF123.87
GF Value CHF103.59
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

Novartis AG LTS:0QLR +1.85% 79 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89 as of Jul. 20, 2026, which is 72% above its 10-year median of 2.84. GuruFocus rates LTS:0QLR with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF103.59 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 757 Drug Manufacturers companies, Novartis AG ranks worse than 80.45% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-20), Novartis AG's current share price is CHF123.87. Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF25.33. Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 4.89.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0QLR' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.23   Med: 2.84   Max: 5.11
Current: 4.94

During the past years, Novartis AG's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 5.11. The lowest was 2.23. And the median was 2.84.

LTS:0QLR's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
80.45% of 757 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 1.86 vs LTS:0QLR: 4.94

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Novartis AG's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was CHF15.890. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is CHF25.33 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Novartis AG  (LTS:0QLR) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

Novartis AG Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.79 2.81 3.04 3.28 4.29

Novartis AG Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.65 3.63 3.84 4.29 4.77

LTS:0QLR vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


LTS:0QLR
79GF Score
Novartis AG LTS:0QLR
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Novartis AG Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=123.87/25.33
=4.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Novartis AG's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=15.89/108.0600*108.0600
=15.890

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 108.0600.

Novartis AG Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201606 29.500 100.088 31.850
201609 30.720 99.604 33.328
201612 32.132 99.380 34.939
201703 28.613 100.040 30.907
201706 28.891 100.285 31.131
201709 30.033 100.254 32.372
201712 31.588 100.213 34.061
201803 28.917 100.836 30.989
201806 32.753 101.435 34.892
201809 32.670 101.246 34.869
201812 33.739 100.906 36.131
201903 20.343 101.571 21.643
201906 22.170 102.044 23.477
201909 22.975 101.396 24.485
201912 24.066 101.063 25.732
202003 21.336 101.048 22.817
202006 22.364 100.743 23.988
202009 21.916 100.585 23.545
202012 22.280 100.241 24.018
202103 20.924 100.800 22.431
202106 21.933 101.352 23.385
202109 23.418 101.533 24.924
202112 27.880 101.776 29.602
202203 25.850 103.205 27.066
202206 27.969 104.783 28.844
202209 27.520 104.835 28.367
202212 26.082 104.666 26.928
202303 22.976 106.245 23.369
202306 22.571 106.576 22.885
202309 16.703 106.570 16.937
202312 19.744 106.461 20.041
202403 17.279 107.355 17.392
202406 18.424 107.991 18.436
202409 18.356 107.468 18.457
202412 19.883 107.128 20.056
202503 17.304 107.722 17.358
202506 17.637 108.075 17.635
202509 18.392 107.710 18.452
202512 19.265 107.200 19.420
202603 15.890 108.060 15.890

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 mean?
Novartis AG (LTS:0QLR) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 as of Jul. 20, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Novartis AG and its competitors. This is 72% above median its historical median of 2.84. Over the past decade, Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 2.23 to 5.11. According to the industry distribution chart, Novartis AG ranks #609 out of 757 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 80.4%.
Is Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
Novartis AG's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 is 72% above median its 10-year median of 2.84. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.23 to a high of 5.11. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.86. Novartis AG's value of 4.89 is 162.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Novartis AG ranks #609 out of 757 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Novartis AG has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Novartis AG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Novartis AG ranks #609 out of 757 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places Novartis AG in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.86. Novartis AG's value of 4.89 is 162.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Novartis AG's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 2.23 to 5.11 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.84 vs. the industry median of 1.86, Novartis AG has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Drug Manufacturers companies is 1.86, based on 757 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Novartis AG's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 4.89 is 162.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Novartis AG and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Novartis AG's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89, which is 72% above median its own 10-year median of 2.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Novartis AG stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novartis AG (LTS:0QLR) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF103.59, compared to a current price of CHF123.87 — trading 19.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89, which is 72% above median its 10-year median of 2.84 and 162.9% above the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 1.86. Novartis AG's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Novartis AG (LTS:0QLR), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 4.89 as of Jul. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Novartis AG (LTS:0QLR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novartis AG stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of CHF123.87 is trading 19.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF103.59. GuruFocus considers Novartis AG to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0QLR:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 4.89 (72% above median its 10-year median of 2.84)
  • GF Value™: CHF103.59 vs. price of CHF123.87 (19.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 162.9% above the Drug Manufacturers median (#609 of 757)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0QLR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Novartis AG Business Description

Address Lichtstrasse 35, Basel, CHE, 4056
Novartis develops and manufactures innovative drugs. Key areas of drug development are oncology, immunology, neuroscience, respiratory, and cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic. It also has an established medicines business, which includes off-patent franchises. The company sells its products globally, with the United States constituting close to one-third of total revenue.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0QLR

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF123.87
Price
CHF103.59
GF Value