The GEO Group (STU:GEG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 2.77 (As of Aug. 15, 2026) — 86% Above Median

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STU:GEG The GEO Group Inc STU:GEG
54 GF Score
Price €26.66
GF Value €16.13
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio?

The GEO Group STU:GEG +0.95% 54 Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.77 as of Aug. 15, 2026, which is 86% above its 10-year median of 1.49. GuruFocus rates STU:GEG with a GF Score™ of 54/100 and a GF Value™ of €16.13 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 716 Business Services companies, The GEO Group ranks worse than 72.07% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-15), The GEO Group's current share price is €26.66. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was €9.64. The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is 2.77.

The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

STU:GEG' s Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.51   Med: 1.49   Max: 3.41
Current: 2.85

During the past years, The GEO Group's highest Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio was 3.41. The lowest was 0.51. And the median was 1.49.

STU:GEG's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is ranked worse than
72.07% of 716 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs STU:GEG: 2.85

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted book value per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The GEO Group's adjusted book value per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was €9.950. Add all the adjusted book value per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share, which is €9.64 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The GEO Group  (STU:GEG) Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PB Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of book value during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should give similar results to regular PB Ratio.


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Related Terms


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Chart

The GEO Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.75 1.05 1.03 2.65 1.51

The GEO Group Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.25 1.91 1.51 1.55 2.70

STU:GEG vs BRC, BCO, ADT: Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Comparison

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio falls into.


STU:GEG
54GF Score
The GEO Group Inc STU:GEG
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The GEO Group Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio takes the Book Value per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/B calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPB Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share
=26.66/9.64
=2.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, The GEO Group's adjusted Book Value per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_Book=Book Value per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=9.95/333.9520*333.9520
=9.950

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

The GEO Group Quarterly Data

Book Value per Share CPI Adj_Book
201609 7.655 241.428 10.589
201612 8.213 241.432 11.360
201703 9.424 243.801 12.909
201706 8.808 244.955 12.008
201709 8.217 246.819 11.118
201712 8.172 246.524 11.070
201803 7.571 249.554 10.131
201806 7.692 251.989 10.194
201809 7.613 252.439 10.071
201812 7.585 251.233 10.082
201903 7.504 254.202 9.858
201906 7.464 256.143 9.731
201909 7.549 256.759 9.819
201912 7.401 256.974 9.618
202003 7.145 258.115 9.244
202006 6.916 257.797 8.959
202009 6.530 260.280 8.378
202012 6.187 260.474 7.932
202103 6.465 264.877 8.151
202106 6.687 271.696 8.219
202109 7.072 274.310 8.610
202112 7.054 278.802 8.449
202203 7.484 287.504 8.693
202206 8.171 296.311 9.209
202209 9.052 296.808 10.185
202212 8.875 296.797 9.986
202303 8.901 301.836 9.848
202306 9.032 305.109 9.886
202309 9.364 307.789 10.160
202312 9.395 306.746 10.228
202403 9.531 312.332 10.191
202406 8.535 314.175 9.072
202409 8.487 315.301 8.989
202412 9.094 315.605 9.623
202503 8.798 319.799 9.187
202506 8.489 322.561 8.789
202509 9.314 324.800 9.576
202512 9.439 324.054 9.727
202603 9.688 330.213 9.798
202606 9.950 333.952 9.950

Add all the adjusted book value per share together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted Book per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.77 mean?
The GEO Group (STU:GEG) has a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.77 as of Aug. 15, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. This is 86% above median its historical median of 1.49. Over the past decade, The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.51 to 3.41. According to the industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #516 out of 716 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 72.1%.
Is The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio too high?
The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.77 is 86% above median its 10-year median of 1.49. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.51 to a high of 3.41. The Business Services industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.53. The GEO Group's value of 2.77 is 81% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #516 out of 716 companies in the Business Services industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The GEO Group has a GF Score™ of 54/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The GEO Group's Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio compare to BRC and BCO?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, The GEO Group ranks #516 out of 716 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio. This places The GEO Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.53. The GEO Group's value of 2.77 is 81% above this benchmark. Historically, The GEO Group's own Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio has ranged from 0.51 to 3.41 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.49 vs. the industry median of 1.53, The GEO Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio for a Business Services company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio among Business Services companies is 1.53, based on 716 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio of 2.77 is 81% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted book value per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on The GEO Group and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 1.53 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The GEO Group's current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.77, which is 86% above median its own 10-year median of 1.49. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The GEO Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group (STU:GEG) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €16.13, compared to a current price of €26.66 — trading 65.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.77, which is 86% above median its 10-year median of 1.49 and 81% above the Business Services industry median of 1.53. The GEO Group's overall GF Score™ is 54/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The GEO Group (STU:GEG), the current Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is 2.77 as of Aug. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The GEO Group (STU:GEG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The GEO Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €26.66 is trading 65.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of €16.13. GuruFocus considers The GEO Group to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:GEG:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio: 2.77 (86% above median its 10-year median of 1.49)
  • GF Value™: €16.13 vs. price of €26.66 (65.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 54/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 81% above the Business Services median (#516 of 716)

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:GEG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The GEO Group Business Description

Other Exchanges GEO:USAGEO1:Mexico
Address 4955 Technology Way, Boca Raton, FL, USA, 33431
The GEO Group Inc specializes in detention facilities and community reentry centers. It operates in four segments: U.S. Secure Services, which mainly encompasses U.S.-based secure services business; Electronic Monitoring and Supervision Services, which conducts its services in the United States, represents services provided to adults for monitoring services and evidence-based supervision and treatment programs for community-based parolees, probationers, and pretrial defendants; Reentry Services conducts its services in the United States represents services provided to adults for residential and non-residential treatment, educational and community-based programs, pre-release and half-way house programs; and International Services. The company operates in U.S, Australia and South Africa.
54GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:GEG

Cyclically Adjusted PB Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€26.66
Price
€16.13
GF Value