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United Parcel Service (FRA:UPAB) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 24.63 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-01), United Parcel Service's current share price is €139.14. United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €5.65. United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 24.63.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:UPAB' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 21.03   Med: 27.21   Max: 45.31
Current: 23.9

During the past years, United Parcel Service's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 45.31. The lowest was 21.03. And the median was 27.21.

FRA:UPAB's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
59.52% of 420 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 18.235 vs FRA:UPAB: 23.90

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

United Parcel Service's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €2.449. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €5.65 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

United Parcel Service Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 28.84 38.21 40.04 28.48 25.46

United Parcel Service Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 31.12 28.09 24.33 25.46 24.09

Competitive Comparison of United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Integrated Freight & Logistics subindustry, United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=139.14/5.65
=24.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, United Parcel Service's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.449/129.4194*129.4194
=2.449

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

United Parcel Service Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.735 100.560 -0.946
201409 1.454 100.428 1.874
201412 0.577 99.070 0.754
201503 2.415 99.621 3.137
201506 0.878 100.684 1.129
201509 1.466 100.392 1.890
201512 0.289 99.792 0.375
201603 2.253 100.470 2.902
201606 1.487 101.688 1.893
201609 -0.205 101.861 -0.260
201612 -0.019 101.863 -0.024
201703 -0.744 102.862 -0.936
201706 1.332 103.349 1.668
201709 0.094 104.136 0.117
201712 -4.320 104.011 -5.375
201803 2.358 105.290 2.898
201806 1.792 106.317 2.181
201809 0.572 106.507 0.695
201812 1.511 105.998 1.845
201903 0.777 107.251 0.938
201906 0.594 108.070 0.711
201909 0.011 108.329 0.013
201912 0.934 108.420 1.115
202003 1.684 108.902 2.001
202006 2.315 108.767 2.755
202009 2.124 109.815 2.503
202012 -0.956 109.897 -1.126
202103 3.545 111.754 4.105
202106 2.918 114.631 3.294
202109 2.328 115.734 2.603
202112 1.635 117.630 1.799
202203 4.062 121.301 4.334
202206 3.211 125.017 3.324
202209 1.840 125.227 1.902
202212 0.910 125.222 0.941
202303 1.887 127.348 1.918
202306 2.172 128.729 2.184
202309 1.031 129.860 1.028
202312 0.387 129.419 0.387
202403 2.449 129.419 2.449

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


United Parcel Service  (FRA:UPAB) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


United Parcel Service Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of United Parcel Service's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


United Parcel Service (FRA:UPAB) Business Description

Address
55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E. Atlanta, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30328
As the world's largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 25 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS' domestic U.S. package operations generate around 64% of total revenue while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding, truckload brokerage, and contract logistics make up the remainder.

United Parcel Service (FRA:UPAB) Headlines

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