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Progressive (STU:PGV) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 18.55 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Progressive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-21), Progressive's current share price is €191.46. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €10.32. Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 18.55.

The historical rank and industry rank for Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

STU:PGV' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 8.83   Med: 14.55   Max: 19.98
Current: 18.64

During the past years, Progressive's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 19.98. The lowest was 8.83. And the median was 14.55.

STU:PGV's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
73.39% of 327 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 11.15 vs STU:PGV: 18.64

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Progressive's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €6.556. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €10.32 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Progressive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Progressive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.48 16.70 13.89 14.97 15.39

Progressive Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.77 13.97 13.92 15.39 18.62

Competitive Comparison of Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Progressive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=191.46/10.32
=18.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Progressive's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=6.556/131.7762*131.7762
=6.556

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Progressive Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.435 100.560 0.570
201409 0.768 100.428 1.008
201412 0.046 99.070 0.061
201503 1.171 99.621 1.549
201506 0.948 100.684 1.241
201509 1.055 100.392 1.385
201512 0.138 99.792 0.182
201603 1.173 100.470 1.538
201606 1.061 101.688 1.375
201609 0.993 101.861 1.285
201612 0.657 101.863 0.850
201703 1.714 102.862 2.196
201706 1.342 103.349 1.711
201709 1.668 104.136 2.111
201712 0.704 104.011 0.892
201803 2.370 105.290 2.966
201806 2.440 106.317 3.024
201809 2.418 106.507 2.992
201812 1.471 105.998 1.829
201903 2.705 107.251 3.324
201906 2.079 108.070 2.535
201909 2.599 108.329 3.162
201912 1.604 108.420 1.950
202003 2.411 108.902 2.917
202006 3.334 108.767 4.039
202009 2.042 109.815 2.450
202012 2.100 109.897 2.518
202103 3.670 111.754 4.328
202106 3.219 114.631 3.700
202109 3.303 115.734 3.761
202112 0.599 117.630 0.671
202203 3.762 121.301 4.087
202206 2.139 125.017 2.255
202209 3.301 125.227 3.474
202212 1.419 125.222 1.493
202303 3.829 127.348 3.962
202306 3.533 128.729 3.617
202309 5.396 129.860 5.476
202312 3.676 129.419 3.743
202403 6.556 131.776 6.556

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Progressive  (STU:PGV) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Progressive Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Progressive's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Progressive (STU:PGV) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, OH, USA, 44143
Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has about 18 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States. Progressive markets its policies through independent insurance agencies in the U.S. and Canada and directly via the internet and telephone. Its premiums are split roughly equally between the agent and the direct channel. The company also offers commercial auto policies and entered homeowners insurance through an acquisition in 2015.

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